2nd Favourites in Claiming Races…
This simple little system has performed very creditably for many years, and is easy to use. First of all, on many days, there are no claiming races, so its not high maintenance. When there are claimers, it’s very quick and simple to identify if the 2nd favourite is likely to qualify.
Rules are as follows:
Claiming Races
2nd Favourite
4yo+
Carrying 9st+
Finished 1st or 2nd in at least one of last six starts
Beaten 6 lengths+ last time
And the results are impressive:
|
YEAR |
WINS |
RUNS |
STRIKE% |
LSP |
LSP% |
VSP% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2002 |
8 |
26 |
30.77 |
22 |
84.62 |
46.72 |
|
2003 |
10 |
33 |
30.3 |
14.25 |
43.18 |
34.03 |
|
2004 |
14 |
36 |
38.89 |
22.26 |
61.83 |
60.37 |
|
2005 |
10 |
24 |
41.67 |
18 |
75 |
71.7 |
|
2006 |
12 |
25 |
48 |
27.91 |
111.64 |
112.29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54 |
144 |
37.5 |
104.42 |
72.51 |
63.17 |
As you can see, although there aren't too many qualifiers (there aren't that
many claiming races!), a strike rate of 3 in 8 and a level stakes profit of
£2,088.40 for £20 stakes, makes this worth tracking.
Incidentally, 2 and 3 year olds performed much less well against these
criteria. I suspect this is due to their relative lack of exposure.