Unfortunately I'm a bit pushed for time this morning and with the earlier start to racing now upon us I'm afraid all I can offer in today's post is a few horses that will be carrying my cash

As always, back them - lay them or ignore them! The choice is yours.

First up, 3 from Ascot on BBC1 and a Placepot perm....


1:05 Ascot
A very competitive chase to begin with and where a lot of the fitness will have to be taken on trust as only Orpen Wide and Golden Feather have run in the last 6 months. Golden Feather is definitely on the upgrade and in fine form but this is a big ask after winning h'caps at Sedgefield. The Wicketkeeper was last seen when winning this race 12months ago.

I think the one to take a fitness gamble with could be bottom weighted It's Crucial. His trainer has had 13 winners in the last week or so, so we know the stable is firing and at around 10/1 looks a nice price. The biggest dangers are the fit Golden Feather and Moon Over Miami who comes from another in-form stable.

1:35 Ascot
Another fiercely competitive h'cap,with quite a few stables with multiple entries making it difficult to assess. I do like the chances of I Have Dreamed but interestingly he is the only runner not to have won at this distance. Likely favourite Font must have a leading chance on his 2 wins this season and coming from champion trainer P Nicholls yard and ridden by champion jockey A P McCoy he'll be hard to beat.

Having said that though I 'm going to go with Alsadaa at around 16/1. He looks incredible e/w value as he is 1 of only 2 C & D winners in the race (County Zen the other) and has fitness on his side having won on the flat at Ascot in late September.

2:05 Ascot
The most valuable race on the card and yet again very tricky. Fundamentalist was a fine winner and well backed last Sunday at Aintree. Having been tipped up on this blog last week I am loathe to oppose him but I feel he will struggle back against the improving youngsters. Air Force One could well be an appropriate winner in the week of the American Elections but for me you just can't ignore Pipe at these meetings.
He has 2 runners, Abragante and Madison Du Berlais. The jockey bookings would suggest that the fore mentioned is the stable 1st string but I like the other one more and at around 14/1 he looks good value. He was last seen out when falling in the Grand National, behind stable mate Comply Or Die, and if that experience hasn't dented his confidence then I expect a very good run from him.

Placepot: 4/11 - 2/12/13 - 4/8/14 - 3/4/8 - 1 - 2/5/7 = 162 bets

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Newmarket

2.45

It's hard to get away from Kirklees who seems to have everything in his favour. Coming from the in form Godolphin stable and with trip, going and a very respectable seasonal return two weeks ago under his belt, this Group 1 winner should take all the beating.

One time Derby hopeful Bronze Cannon would seem his biggest rival but I have a feeling we may see an improved run from Smokey Oakey now he races at his ideal trip and on softish ground. At 20/1 he could be a nice each way alternative to the favourite.

3.55

An interesting race to bring down the curtain on Newmarket's flat season and one which I think can go to Bankable who has been proving anything but recently.

With a string of seconds to his name quite a few people have labelled him ungenuine but he seems to put it all in to me and has just been unlucky to run into some very good horses when running over his optimum trip.

This drop back into Listed class, the return to a mile on softish going and the absence of chief danger Cat Junior look perfect conditions to prove his doubters wrong.

Being beaten a length by Breeders Cup Classic winner Ravens Pass or even a head by Eagle Mountain is form good enough to take this race and I'm pretty confident the real Bankable will be on show today.

Whatever you decide to do today, the best of Luck,

Gavin.

Comments, Newmarket....

...and a certain Spanish waiter.


Little Acorns

Thanks for the comments posted yesterday.

Firstly, thanks Gordon I'm feeling much better now.

And secondly to Subhash who makes a valid point and one which I was fully expecting to have to answer.

Now normally I would follow Matt's lead and post the selections for the day but with this particular system it isn't quite as straight forward as some other ones that we have reviewed in the past. This includes the FF system which, as I understand, only ever has 1 selection each day.

The Little Acorns requires some set parameters to be met before a horse becomes a Lay and this may not happen until later in the day. It is very simple to identify any qualifiers or those that may qualify at a later stage but this does pose a problem when it comes to informing you, the reader, of the daily selections.

Add to that the progressive staking that this system uses and I have a situation where if I only post the definite qualifiers in the morning by the end of racing the whole outlook may have changed. Even if I post the potential qualifiers as well, without knowing the criteria it won't help you keep track of the system.

The only way around this would be to regularly post throughout the day but, unfortunately, I don't have the time to do this. On weighing up the options I felt it best to record all the selections, stakes and cycles at the end of the day.

I hope you agree with me on this occasion but obviously feel free to post any comments you may have, good or bad!

You can see the sales page for the Little Acorns here.

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Newmarket

Not the greatest card that Newmarket has ever staged and it has a definite end-of-season feel to it but I've had a look and sorted out a few which will be carrying my cash tomorrow.

1:50 Penny's Gift looks to have been found a gift to record another success for the Hannon juvenile team. It's always a risk backing fillies at this time of the year but if she isn't suffering the affects of a hard season then her previous form should see her win this very easily.

2:25 I think it might be worth taking a chance on Encircled at biggish odds. The last time she ran over 12f she was caught close home and whilst this term she has been mainly campaigned at around 10F she has been running with credit. This step back up in trip looks just the job to get her back in the winners circle.

The big danger for me must come from the once run, once won John Gosden trained Critical Acclaim. A rating of 82 for that win seems fair and given John Gosdens usual end of season assault on handicaps his charge will be well fancied to maintain that 100% record.

3:00 On official BHB ratings Khor Dubai looks to be home and dry and with this race going to 2-y-o's for 6 of the last 9 runnings he does look a good thing. But even with that stat I'm not so sure when it comes to 2-y-o running against older horses and I will be taking him on with Kaldoun Kingdom. He ran a cracker from stall 2 last week, when our 14/1 winner Skhilling Spirit cut him down with 100yds to go, and on this softish ground I think he will gain compensation here at the expense of the likely favourite.

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Friday Fun

There could only be one subject for today's Friday Fun given all the furore a certain pair of DJ's have caused this week.

Oi Brand and Ross! only one person gets to humiliate and abuse Andrew Sachs and that's Basil Fawlty. Enjoy.......




Good luck,
Gavin.

Something I ate....

Hello all. My apologies for the lack of posts this week but I have been suffering some kind of bug that has left me laid up in bed without the energy to even tap my laptop keyboard. It was probably something I ate and more than likely the large slice of humble pie I digested after dismissing the Euro challenge at the Breeders Cup.

I seem to be over the worst of it now and normal service will hopefully be resumed tomorrow (by normal service I obviously mean the usual dodgy tips and banal witterings).

Little Acorns

Just a quick update on the Little Acorns Lay system that seems to be producing the slow growth of my bank that was promised

1 1:30 Catt Zegna £10 @ 1.55 lost thus won £9.50 =+£113.90

1 1:40 Yarm Desert Creek £10 @ 1.79 won thus lost -£7.90 = +£106.00
2 1:50 South York Key Bar £20 @ 1.97 lost thus won £19.00 = + £125.00

(2:40 Kings Bastion was a selection but a N/R)

1 1:20 Hunt Tukanu £10 @ 1.95 lost thus +£9.50 = +£134.50

1 7:50 Kemp Film Set £10 @ 2.00 lost thus won +£9.50 = +£144.00

It steadily goes about it's business getting the job done without any undue worry. The selections are easily identifiable and once made it's simply a question of laying them and sitting back.

As long as we don't experience a 8 loser cycle we will see the system post some pretty good results by the end of the trial. Hopefully that hasn't tempted fate too much!

You can see the sales page for the Little Acorns here

where the offer of the Free Binoculars is still available.

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'til tomorrow,
Good Luck,
Gavin.

I don't mind Monday's....

Breeders Review

I may have misjudged the Euro challenge somewhat and the results may have been a little different from what I had expected but it certainly didn't affect my enjoyment of the racing.

Great horses, great finishes and a great big spanking for the Americans from the Euro team made it a highly enjoyable, if expensive, evenings entertainment.

If only I had donned my Euro punting cap, it would have been an amazing night!

It all started off so well with Sixties Icon getting a ride that was far from being Frankies finest moment in the saddle and the winner, Muhannak, being tipped up by me in Thursdays Breeders Preview at 16/1.

But, I should have known it couldn't last and sure enough it was downhill from there on in.

Conduit and Ryan Moore pulled a bit back for me but Henry's defeat in the Classic was the final nail in my punting coffin and by the time the Placepot had paid a miserly twenty odd pounds I was well on the way to destitution.

Shortly after, my pocket Aces got beaten and I was knocked out of my poker tournament (just missing out on the prizes) so I went to bed taking advantage of the fact I still have, for the time being, a roof over my head.

So, I for one am glad it's the start of a new week. I've got the chance to earn some money without the distractions of any decent racing.

Bob Geldolf can go swing because I don't mind Mondays......

Little Acorns Lay Formula

While I was otherwise distracted by the goings on stateside my ever reliable brother was keeping a close eye on the Little Acorns Laying Formula for us and I can report some pretty impressive results since my last update;

Carried forward + £20.10

1 Balzaccio £10 @ 1.99 lost thus +£9.50 = +£29.60

1Charles Street £10 @ 1.92 won thus -£9.20 = +£20.40
2 Midsummer Magic £20 @ 1.70 lost thus +£19.00 = +£39.40

1 Tatenen £10 @ 1.75 won thus -£7.50 = +£31.90
2 Big Fella Thanks £20 @ 2.00 lost thus +£19.00 = +£50.90

1 Black Jacari £10 @ 1.90 lost thus +£9.50 = +£60.40

1 Ask £10 @ 1.81 lost thus +£9.50 = +£69.90

1 Sayif £10 @ 1.92 lost thus +£9.50 = +£79.40

1 Right Stuff £10 @ 1.98 lost thus +9.50 = +£88.90

1 Another Brother £10 @ 1.75 lost thus +£9.50 = +£98.40

1 Kilbeggan Blade £10 @ 1.95 won thus -£9.50 = +£88.90
2 Kicks For Free £20 @ 1.65 won thus -£13.00 = +£75.90
3 Conflictofinterest £30 @ 1.76 lost thus +£28.50 =+£104.40

As you can see plenty of losers (meaning winners for us) without breaking sweat or sending me into panic stations!

It's still early days and I'll keep trialing the product for a while yet but it does seem to be consistent in finding the losers. My bank is still growing and, while not by spectacular amounts, I can see that if you have the patience and discipline this is a fairly safe formula for steady growth.

Check out the sales page here: Little Acorns Laying Formula

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Friday Fun Winners

Many thanks to all who entered the Friday Fun Quiz. The correct answers were;

1) Francois Boutin

2) Gulfstream Park

3) Steve Cauthen

and the lucky winners of the CH4 2009 Racing Diary are Terry Tyler & Craig Woodburn.

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Good luck,

Gavin.

Saturday Racing Bonanza.....

Wow, what a feast for us sports and racing fans. I've packed the missus and my son off to the Mother-in-laws, taken the afternoon off work and got Domino Pizza's on speed dial.

Sunderland vs Newcastle, Jumps on the Beeb, Flat on Channel 4, Breeders Cup, Stanford Super Series Cricket, Pokerstars $50 rebuy tournament and the X-Factor should ensure I don't leave the sofa for the rest of the day. It's an odds-on shot that I will be a) skint and b) sick and tired of gambling come tomorrow morning.

I've done my best to cover most of the good stuff but I've mainly concentrated on the racing from the other side of the pond. I love the Breeders Cup and I wish I was there with Matt and the gang, work is such a downer at times like these!

Having read Matt's blog (http://www.geegeez.co.uk/) it seems, and not for the first time in our long friendship, that we have a difference of opinion. Matt has nailed his colours firmly to the Euro mast whereas I think they may struggle and will be avoiding the majority of the raiding party to stick with the home team. I doubt it will be the last time our opinions differ and I certainly wouldn't want it any other way because that's what makes horse racing such a great sport, there are so many variables and ways of looking at a race.

As I said yesterday, do what you like with my choices....back them, lay them or just ignore them!
(Hopefully yesterday you chose to back them ;-) but more of that later.)

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Marathon

I'm not sure the Yanks have quite grasped the concept of staying races as I doubt many of us would consider 1m 4f a marathon trip. Have they never seen the Queen Alexandra Stakes? I guess not.

Sixties Icon is a Group 1 winner who handles fast ground and would seem to have an outstanding chance to give the Euro's a winning start. However, his last 3 wins have all been at Group 3 level and he has sometimes struggled when racing at this class. I'd much rather be with Zappa who has proved he stays this trip, has won on the track and goes on Fast ground. He has the beating of Big Booster and will do for me.

Turf Sprint

This could be fun with the majority of the runners at their best from or near to the front. Trying to lead out for 6 1/2 furlongs takes some doing and may just stretch the stamina of the pace horses but it'll be great entertainment watching these speedsters strut their stuff.

Fleeting Spirit has been lightly raced this season and comes here fresher than most. The trip may be a bit further than ideal but she has a good a chance as any in this fascinating new addition to the Breeders Cup. I think though, it may pay to back a big priced 'stalking horse' and the one I like the most is Heroes Reward.

Dirt Mile

Run on the Pro-Ride surface rather than Dirt and starting on a bend this race could be decided simply by the luck of the draw. However, Well Armed has the best form and has had most of the main protagonists behind him in recent races. If he gets out smart enough he should be okay from stall 8 and this ex-Clive Brittain horse is taken to do the business.

Turf Mile

I know Matt is really keen on Goldikova in this race and he can't see her being beat but for me she's no good thing. This lightening quick ground isn't certain to suit and I for one certainly won't be investing at around 7/4.
Previous winners of this race usually do well so, yet again, I am going to desert the Euro raider in favour of a US horse. Last years winner Kip Deville has course and distance form acts on the going and from stall 2 is handily placed to track the leaders before asserting down the home stretch.

Juvenile Colts & Geldings

Bushranger has some extremely good European form and he is a really interesting runner on this Pro-Ride surface. He hasn't had the best of the draw but given his usual style of running that shouldn't be too much of a problem.

If handling the surface he's one of the few Euro horse I can give a chance too but again I'm going to go with the local form and one of the best pointers to this race when it's been held in California. That race is the Norfolk, run over course and distance and this years winner Street Hero will be carrying my cash when the gates open.

Juvenile Turf

Coronet of a Baron split Midshipman and Street Hero on the polytrack at Del Mar last time he ran and it's interesting that he takes his chance on turf here rather than re-opposing those two in the previous race. Aiden O'Brien's Westphalia will be a big danger if handling the conditions but preference for the exacta is Todd Pletchers Bittel Road. Unbeaten in three starts on turf he only just seems to do enough to get his head in front. From stall 11 he can drop in behind and launch a late bid for glory.

Sprint

I think this lies between the first three in the betting with my preference being Cost of Freedom. He broke the track record when beating Street Boss last time out over course and distance and from stall 1 I take him to again confirm his superiority over the runner up. Fatal Bullet won the Kentucky Cup Sprint last time out by 7 3/4 lengths but this confirmed front runner may not be able to get to the lead early on from gate 9.

Turf

The BC Turf is a race the Euro's traditionally do well in and I think it could be the same again this year. Soldier of Fortune is the class act here and is a worthy favourite, Conduit the Leger winner has a turn of foot that could serve him well here whereas Winchester comes into the reckoning on his 7 length win in the Secretariat Stakes last time out. Red Rocks won this race 2 years ago and beat the mighty Curlin last time out, he really comes into his own at this time of year and he will be tough to beat.

Arc runners don't tend to do that well in this race and for that reason I'm going to go with Conduit who should act on the track and the fast ground. My only reservation is Ryan Moore who riding at his first Breeders Cup meeting may leave it all too late....

Breeders Cup Classic

The best has definitely been saved for last because for me, this is one of the best fields assembled in recent years anywhere on the planet and it promises to be a real race to savour.

The awesome Curlin goes for back-to-back wins in the race and has a Dubai World Cup win to his name but his recent runs suggest he may not be so invincible. The Santa Anita Derby winner, Colonel John, Japanese superstar Casino Drive, unbeaten in 3 starts and the 3 Euro challengers will certainly make life hard for the favourite.

One horse that may run a mighty race at a big price is Champs Elysees. The 33/1 is definitely value for a horse that will be doing all his best work at the finish.

Duke of Marmalade's great run of Group 1 race wins ended in the softish going at Longchamp where he looked like a horse feeling the affects of those tough races.

Ravens Pass finally beat his arch nemesis Henrythenavigator in the QEII at Ascot in what was a very good time. Over this extra 2 furlongs and on the artificial surface though, I'm going to side with Henrythenavigator to gain revenge and give the Aiden O'Brien team the race that has eluded them for so long.

Oi, Oi, Come on Henry!

I've just found out that the Tote are offering a Placepot on the last 6 Breeders Races so here's my attempt;

2/4 - 8/12 - 7/11 - 1/4/9 - 2/4/9 - 5/9 = 144 bets

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A quick look at today's TV Jump Racing on the BBC....

1:05 Aintree Rippling Ring will be plenty short enough for this open looking h'cap. With 16 runners I think we need to look for some value and last Saturday's Cheltenham 3rd Dishdasha looks the answer.

1:35 Aintree A small but select field and I can't see past Tatenen for the all conquering Nicholls/Walsh combination.

2:05 Aintree A chase for the older generation and one that topweighted Fundamentalist might find to his liking. Trainer and jockey are both flying at the moment and he could take all the beating.

1:20 Chepstow Diablo has been in cracking form of late but in what is possibly the best Novice hurdle race yet this season it could pay to stick with the Hobbs' horse Tarablaze.

1:50 Chepstow In what is a small and disappointing field for this Listed H'cap, it may pay to stick with A P McCoy and topweight Blaeberry. Irish Legend is the only runner to have raced recently and may hold a fitness edge.

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2.10 Newbury Horris Hill

- The last 8 winners were all beaten on their debut
- All of the last 10 winners had won one or both of their last two starts
- 9 of the last 10 had a top 3 finish last time out
- 9/10 had ran at least twice
- 9/10 were already distance winners
- 9/10 came from the top half of the draw.

Applying these trends leaves us with just 2, Shampagne and Bravo Echo with slight preference for the latter

335 Doncaster The Racing Post Trophy

- 9 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 3 last time out

- 8/10 finished first or second last time

- 8/10 had won over 7f or 1 mile

- 7/10 had run once or twice

- 7/10 won one or both of their last two starts

Michael Stoute's Marching Time fits the profile of previous winners and will be my selection in a very tough renewal

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The Little Acorns system had one qualifier yesterday which lost so we win (good news again).
I'll be back tomorrow with a more in depth look at how the system has been getting on.

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Last but certainly not least, my Sprint King Crown may have been slipping recently but it now sits firmly back on top of my bonce after yesterday's 14/1 sprint winner, Skhilling Spirit.

Thanks for the emails, I'm glad at least some of you were on.

Good Luck,
Gavin.

P.S. It seems this weeks Friday Fun Quiz was more to your liking. I've had a terrific response and only one incorrect answer so far. It's not to late to enter, just scroll down to yesterdays Post for details.

Friday thoughts....

A bumper Friday Post with lots to get through so I better get started.

First up is the Breeders Cup which this year has been made into a two day festival with 14 races spread over the Friday and Saturday.

A big European team has flown over to challenge for some Yankee Dollars but I'm not so sure they're going to like the conditions this year and may struggle against the West Coast, more acclimatised locals.

As always feel free to do whatever you like with my choices, Back them, Lay them or simply Ignore them.

Filly & Mare Sprint

This is sure to be run at break-neck pace with plenty of front running speedsters in the field. Indyanne looks a big price at around 20/1 and if she doesn't cut her throat battling for the lead she may surprise.

However, it does look like the race may be set up for a horse coming from off the pace and of the hold up horses I like Bobby Frankel's Ventura the most. Her run last time out where a change of tactics saw her held right off the pace, and running over an extra furlong than today's race, smacked of a real prep run from her wily trainer who obviously had his eye on this race for her.

Juvenile Fillies Turf

Everyone seems to think this is a tough race to solve (and they'll probably be proven right) but to me Laragh looks the best bet on today's card.
She romped home last time out, after disappointing on soft going previously, and a reproduction of that last run will see her win this just as easily. She is top rated by some way, has a good draw and in E Prado an inform jockey. The 4/1 looks pretty tasty.
The Euro horses don't look good enough to me and the main danger may come from C Karma.

Juvenile Fillies

The Euro filly Pursuit of Glory doesn't have the best of the draw but has proved she can handle a surface similar to this Pro-Ride dirt track. She has some very good form in the book and can be given an each way chance at around 12/1.
The hot favourite also has draw issues and it may pay to look elsewhere for some value.
Sky Diva would seem the obvious danger and after her 10 length maiden win, she followed that up with a 3 1/4 length Grade 1 victory and is now 2 from 2. The 9/2 looks fair and she should give us a run for our money.
Evita Argentina has already beaten the favourite Stardom Bound and she will be running on late, as is her style. The 25/1 may be worth looking at now she steps up in trip.

Filly & Mare Turf

A race the Euro's usually do well in but I'm not so sure this year will see a repeat of those past victories. The firm ground, the unusual turf course and the hotter weather may just prove too much for the Euro raiders after a long season back home.
The Todd Pletcher trained Wait a While looks the best of the home team by some way and has won over course and distance 3 times. With the Bookies over here favouring the Euro horses the 4/1 looks too big a price to miss, I'm pretty sure she will be trading much shorter on the course and suggest taking the price if you back her.

Ladies Classic

Formerly the Distaff this looks like being an absolute cracker. The unbeaten Zenyatta is a very short priced favourite and is out to prove she is the best US filly for some years. At 8/11 she won't be carrying any of my money but I won't be backing against her either as she looks worthy of her odds on status and should make it 9 from 9.

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There's a big field sprint at Doncaster today and one which I couldn't resist having a look at.

3:30 Donc
Firstly, if the ground stays good or better then I think that those drawn low are going to struggle. As you would expect for the size of the field it's a very competitive sprint but only 1 of the 22 runners won last time out. Against The Grain, the Ayr Silver Cup winner, is that horse but he may find it tough to follow up on quicker ground.

Only 2 of the 22 runners are C & D winners and they are Cape and Skhilling Spirit. Cape seems to have lost his way since winning 1st time out this season and isn't for me.

Skhilling Spirit on the other hand looks to have a great chance and I think he is going to take all the beating. He finished 5th in the Ayr Gold Cup before running over 7F at Ascot in the race won by Furnace, this return to 6F is ideal and with a high draw looks set for a big run.

Dangers include topweighted Dhaular Dhar, Dabbers Ridge and Zomerlust but the main threat could come from Rising Shadow who has won 7 times over today's trip and has taken a steady drop down the ratings.

Selection: Skhilling Spirit

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Little Acorns

Yesterday there were two qualifiers with the first one losing (good) and the other one winning (not so good).
This means that we move up the staking ladder again for the next selection and I'll be back to let you know how it gets on in my next post.

Click here to read all about the Little Acorns Laying Formula

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Friday Fun.

What better time than now to relive the greatest performance in the history of the Breeders Cup. If you haven't yet seen Arazi win the 1991 Juvenile at Churchill Downs prepare to be amazed....






Just a shame he didn't really train on..

I've got two Channel 4 2009 racing diaries to give away to the first correct answers received to the following 3 questions.

1) Who trained Arazi?

2) Which racetrack did Arazi run his last race on?

3) Who rode him to victory in his first race as a 3-y-o?

Answers to quiz@nag-nag-nag.co.uk before midnight Sunday.

Feel free to leave a comment below if you agree / disagree with my choice of Best Ever Breeders Cup Performance.

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TTS Latest

Yesterday we had a massive 16 runners spread across 9 races and it was one of those days where it could have all gone horribly wrong. We needn't have worried though as we managed to find 6 of the 9 winners with another one falling at the last when looking the likely winner.

At odds of 4/5, 9/4, 11/4, 3/1, 10/3 and 11/1 it was another great day for all our TTS followers. Many thanks for all the emails, we're glad you're reaping the benefits of our little system.

It's still no too late to join in the fun and you can sign up for TTS here....
Trainer Track Stats

Good luck,
Gavin.

Breeders Cup...

This weekend sees Santa Anita play host to the 2009 Breeders Cup and as most of you will already know Matt has flown out to join in the fun.

I've been lucky enough to join Matt and friends on a few of their Breeders Cup jaunts over the years and with plenty of drinking, eating and gambling it's pretty much the safest bet of the year that a good time will be had by all.

Unfortunately, due to work commitments I wasn't able to go this year which means I have had to put up with Matt texting, emailing and Blogging me all the latest from my beloved Las Vegas while I'm stuck in a cold and drafty shopping centre selling calendars. They'll be no prizes on offer as to where I'd rather be.

They've now moved on to California ready for the start of the 2 day betting marathon at Santa Anita and if they have chance to read this,
Good Luck Guys!

I'll be taking a good look at the Breeders Cards tomorrow once I've had chance to go through the races (all 14 of them!) but first I'll relay some track facts about the Santa Anita Racecourse.

Santa Anita has a one-mile All Weather main track which rings a turf course measuring 9/10 of a mile, or 7 furlongs plus 132 feet. In addition, it has an unusual hillside turf course which crosses the dirt and is used mainly to run turf races at a distance of about 6 1/2 furlongs. This type of track is one of the few of its kind in America.

The Pro-Ride dirt track is very similar to our own AW tracks and according to Frankie Dettori - 'It's not quite the same as the Polytrack at home but it's not far away - it's somewhere between Polytrack and Fibresand'.
The track is currently riding FAST and ideally you need a horse drawn Low.

The Turf track apparently looks in a poor state with yellow grass and bare patches but the 'experts' still claim that it walks okay and there is a decent cushion on it. They have turned the sprinklers on but, not surprisingly, the going is still fast. Coupled with the 90 degree heat the British horses certainly won't have experienced these conditions this Summer.

One horse that seems to be attracting a bit of early each way support is the Ralph Beckett Muhannak. He won on the new Dundalk AW track last time and according to the trainer has acclimatised well to his new surroundings, the 16/1 might be worth a small wager for the inaugural running of the Breeders Cup Marathon.

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Little Acorns System

As promised here are the results up to yesterday.
I've included; the 'cycles', the horses, the stakes, Betfair odds matched, the result and the all important running total.....

1 Ring The Boss £10 @ 1.85 won thus -£8.50
2 Doeslessthanme £20 @ 1.90 won thus -£18.00 = -£26.50
3 Goliaths Boy £30 @ 1.85 won thus -£25.50 = -£52.00
4 Saticon £50 @ 1.60 won thus -£30.00 = -£82.00
5 Woolcoombe Folly £80 @ 1.77 won thus -£61.60 = -£143.60
6 Katchit £130 @ 1.63 LOST thus +£130-5%com=+£123.50 = -£20.10

1 Soulard £10 @ 1.99 Lost thus +£9.50 = -£10.60

1 The Tother One £10 @ 1.73 won thus -£7.30 = -£17.90
2 Lasso The Moon £20 @1.80 lost thus +£19.00 = +£1.10

1 Wajaha £10 @ 1.95 won thus -£9.50 = -£8.40
2 Fitz Flyer £20 @ 1.70 lost thus +£19.00 = +£10.60

1 Isobelonabicycle £10 @ 1.80 lost thus +£9.50 = +£20.10

It promised a slow increase of your bank without risking a large proportion of your stake and so far that is what it has delivered. Obviously it's early days and we'll be tracking the results for a few more weeks to come but so far, so good.

Click here for the sales page; Little Acorns Laying Formula

Good luck,
Gavin.

3 systems.....

I had planned on reporting yesterday lunchtime on the days selections for the Little Acorns Lay System but there was, at that time, nothing to report.

However, in the afternoon my brother relayed to me that there was a late qualifier in the shape of The Totherone which, for those of you who checked the results will already know, won at 8/11.

As winners mean losers for us we now climb back up the progressive stake ladder ready for the next selection. I'll be back later with any news and an up-to-date account of all selections and stakes so far....


Click here if you wish to see the sales page for the

Little Acorns Low Liability Laying Formula

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The Betting Machine

You may recall I was going to review this system at the end of last week but for one reason or another I shelved it.

I had plenty of emails from readers telling me not to waste my money but unfortunately they came too late as I had already forked out the twenty quid. Not to worry though, at least it's £20 none of you will now be wasting!

Having downloaded it I originally thought that for just £20 it wasn't that bad. The software and the actual Betting Machine interface are really very smart and easy to use. The manual is short and to the point with no waffle, the selections are sent to you daily and it's a bit of fun entering the odds to see what stake the Betting Machine wants you to bet.

But in racing systems as in life you get what you pay for and, unfortunately, that means not very much apart from the nice, green, shiny software application.

It may be one of the cheapest systems on the market but I still can't recommend you buy it because quite simply, you're going to lose your bank, very quickly. No matter how much the manual stresses it is mathematically impossible to lose your entire bank you'll have given up well before it's asking you to stake 12p on a 4/9 shot.

The whole problem with the system is the progressive staking system that is too aggressive and operates on too short a cycle. It reverts back to the original stake once 6 losers have been given and believe me, even the greatest tipsters in the world will have many runs of tipping 6 losers on the trot.

If you string a few of these barren runs together or if they happen in a short period of time you will see the majority of your bank wiped out. The Betting Machine will then be re-configuring your available balance and instructing you to place ridiculous amounts on the future selections.

I roped in my brother, again!, (thanks Gary) and he's been testing the system since Friday. While he had fun paper trading at the beginning he saw exactly what I had warned him about when yesterday it gave 10 losers in a row and wiped out a big chunk of his 'bank'. It did claw some of it back with a winner late on but by then the damage had been done.

Luckily I hadn't also given him access to my Betfair account!!

I really wanted The Betting Machine to be, well at least okay, because it is a lot cheaper than most on the market and not everyone can afford the high end systems but once you get past the pleasing graphics you're simply backing somebody elses tips with a too aggressive staking plan.

So for me, and I would advise for you also, it's got to be a no for The Betting Machine.

--------------

One system that you certainly can rely on at the moment is our very own Trainer Track Stats.

A beautiful, big fat, juicy 12/1 winner at Exeter this afternoon was followed up with a 6/4 in the very next race. We were a bit unlucky not to have the first three winners as in the first race we had the 14/1 second, beaten a neck, which had traded at long odds on in-running.

It does mean though we are now up nearly 30 points since the beginning of the season or £863 for £20 stakes at Betfair odds.

If you're not already signed up to Betfair surely this is incentive enough to switch to the exchanges?

It's still no too late to join in the fun and you can sign up for TTS here....Trainer Track Stats

Good luck,
Gavin.

Tree planting....

'Mighty oaks from little acorns grow' is how the saying goes and according to the Oxford Dictionary of Quotations these wise words can be traced back to the 14th Century.

It's probably fair to assume that those 14th Century wordsmiths didn't have an Internet based Horse Racing formula in mind when they were spouting forth such aphorisms but nevertheless they form the core ideals behind this very system.

It's definitely not going to make you rich overnight and in fairness the author doesn't claim it will but what it does set out to do is bring about a steady increase in the size of your betting bank.

After a rather shaky start the system has now begun to sow the seeds from which we hope the mighty oak will grow.

It took until the 6th selection and reigning Champion Hurdler Katchit's defeat at Kempton yesterday to bring about the first 'winner' for the system and also take us back to the start of the progressive staking ladder. With the Betfair commission to pay it didn't quite get us back to our starting bank but it wasn't far short.

(Note of caution: It was very close to the maximum number for a cycle (8) and while I wasn't exactly panicking my hand was definitely hovering over the panic button!)

With that barrier out of the way it proceeded to select another loser (and therefore a winner for us) today from just one selection and, hopefully, now we'll see the bank balance moving in the right direction.

I do like this systems simplistic and patient approach to building your bank and there's definitely something quite satisfying about laying an odds-on loser. I just hope the authors claims, that the full 8 loser sequence happens as rarely as once every 18 months, are true because you certainly wouldn't want to experience too many of these wipeouts. It would take an awful lot of acorns to sustain a setback like that!

Click here if you wish to see the sales page for the

Little Acorns Low Liability Laying Formula

where I believe the offer of the free binoculars is still available.

I'll hopefully be back tomorrow lunchtime with all the Little Acorn's selection status news.
Good luck,
Gavin.

Little Acorns Update...

As I mentioned yesterday, my brother kindly offered to keep an eye open for any late qualifiers on the Little Acorns Laying system.

And as it turned out, there were indeed two. Unfortunately they both won which, seeing as how this is a Laying System, is not so good. But as the Manual keeps telling me not to panic I'm not about to start doing my Corporal Jones (Dads Army) impression. Well not yet anyway.

Using the progressive staking plan that the Manual advocates I am now up to 5 times my original lay stake for the next selection or £50 using the bank / stake I started with.

An explanation is probably called for as to why the selections aren't always clear cut and exact, so here is one.....

The system or formula uses the betting markets on Betfair to select the horses it is prepared to Lay. Without divulging the exact criteria it does involve monitoring the fluctuating odds and if a horse at anytime meets the specified market variables it becomes a LAY.

Now, these odds may be available straight away and immediately become selections but sometimes 1 or 2 of the 3 criteria are met and the others are close to the formula requirements. These are the ones that now become possibles and need watching out for.

I've probably made it sound a lot more complicated than it is and most races can be narrowed down very quickly to find any that do qualify or may at some later stage qualify.

It does mean though that to use the system to its full advantage it is probably advisable to have the time to keep track of the days market changes.

Hopefully that makes things a bit clearer.

Onto today's selections where, at the time of writing, Little Acorns has 4 definites and 2 possibles.

If it were to go the whole day without a Loser we would be dangerously close to the maximum 8 selection cycle that the system adheres to. The author claims that this will only happen about once every 18 months and my fingers are firmly crossed that it doesn't happen today.

I will keep you posted and return tomorrow with the days trading results and news of The Betting Machine that I began trialling late last week.

Click here if you wish to see the sales page for the Little Acorns Low Liability Laying Formula

Good luck,
Gavin.

Champions Day....

With what looks like an absolute crackerjack of a card at Newmarket and me having recharged my tipping batteries it's all systems go for a bumper weekend of punting here at Nag Towers.

I had a look at two of the big races in an earlier post so here is the rest of the card....

2.05 Newmarket

A super-tough race to kick off with and my weekly look at the Placepot certainly isn't getting any easier. Anyway here goes, Major Cadeaux may find life difficult under his Group race penalty and is not for me, Cat Junior will find this easier than the races he has been contesting this season and is a fair price, Il Warrd bounced back to form last time out but has struggled before at this level and Laa Rayb is held by Ordnance Row on Salisbury running.
Barry Hills has won this race three times in the last decade with 20/1 outsiders and this year runs two, Royal Confidence & Captain Marvelous. With the former at around the same price as those previous winners she looks very interesting and may be worth a small each way investment.

Stimulation has some very good form in the book and this 7f trip on good going should be right up his street.

2.35 Dewhurst

With doubts about Rip Van Winkle it may pay to look elsewhere. Soul City has come on leaps and bounds since I tipped him each way at the Glorious Goodwood meeting (obviously he finished 4th!) and I think he represents good value at 12/1.

3.10 Champion Stakes

E.W. selections: Traffic Guard & City Leader

3.50 Cesarewitch

Selections: Mamlook, Bogside Theatre (e.w.)

4.25 Newmarket

Barry Hills usually does well at this meeting and his Lassarina is well fancied to find the necessary improvement to take this race. A whole host of dangers will make life difficult for her with Aspen Darlin heading the list. Her 2nd in the Cheverley Park is excellent form while Penny's Gift looks the better of the Hannon pair and did well from a bad draw last time out.

5.00 Newmarket

A nice race to finish off with and plenty in with a chance but I think Placepot wise, if we make it this far, we should be safe with the St Leger runner up Unsung Heroine.

PlacePot Perm

8/15/17 - 11/13 - 3/4/10 - 11/18/25 - 2/8/11 - 9 = 162 bets

Each Way Patent

Soul City, Traffic Guard & Bogside Theatre
------------

The jumps have really kicked off now and Cheltenham hosts the 2nd day of it's first meeting of the season. Plenty of big fields, good quality horses and three on Channel 4....

2:20 Cheltenham

A very open and competitive h'cap to kick off the Cheltenham card sees 16 runners line up of which only one can be totally discounted, that being the bottom one.

Top weight Fair Along looks to have been given an excellent chance to get back to winning ways before going back over the larger obstacles. He coincidentally ran 3rd, when Favourite, in last years Cesarewitch. I make him the banker bet on the card and at around 5/1 he looks a steal e/w. Of the others, biggest dangers could come from Tot Of The Knar and the bigger priced Bantry Bere.

2:50

Poquelin and Oh Crick set a good standard from two of the top stables, but I like the look of Asudo, from the very much in form stable of Nigel Twiston-Davies. Winning at the 1st time of asking over fences at Perth, he should come on a good deal for the experience and the run, as that was after a 19 month layoff. The biggest danger could come from P. Hobbs' French Saluie.

3:25

An 18 runner h'cap chase where the favourite, Fier Normand, comes from the JJ O'Neill/AP McCoy combination. He's not been out for nearly a year and looks a little skinny at around 5/1. Ouzbeck and Sou'wester are both in good form at present but this is by far their stiffest task to date. Coach Lane, Lord Ryeford and Alphabetical are all winners last time and of those three Alphabetical's form looks the most reliable.

Yes Sir a former top novice hurdler who won 7 of his 20 hurdle starts and 8 of his 27 chase races looks cracking value at around 20/1. His last couple of runs have shown he is coming back to form and his last 2 runs were over slightly further than his ideal distance of 2m 4f, which he gets today. He only weakened from the last at Wetherby a few days ago under topweight and I see these as ideal conditions for him and strongly suggest getting some of the 20/1 before it goes.

------------

Little Acorns Lay Formula

The first runner for the system was a winner and therefore a loser for us as this is a Lay system. Not to worry though as this means I now have to increase the stake on the next 'lay' in accordance with the progressive staking plan.

But, as of writing this morning, there are no qualifies as yet but a few horses are quite close. I've got my brother monitoring Betfair for me so I'll know later if any horses meet the qualification criteria. I'll update you all tomorrow with regards to the situation.

You can see the sales page here....Little Acorns Low Liability Laying Formula



Good luck,
Gavin.

P.S. While talking with my brother, Gary, about the Little Acorns System he mentioned that he quite fancies Land'n Stars in the Cesarewitch. He has been known to throw up the odd big priced winner in his time and at around 100/1 it's definitely a big price! I can't see it myself but I wouldn't hear the last of it should Land'n Stars run well and I didn't give it a mention.

System review. Take 2...

As promised, today I will be starting an indepth look at the Little Acorns Low-Liability Laying Formula.

As the name suggests, it is a Laying system that claims to offer a 'solid and safe cash generating method.... without taking unacceptable risks' and it does this by using a unique 3-step formula which incoporates an 'obscure but vital selection filter' .

It all sounds good in principle but the big question is, can it deliver? Well, lets find out...

Actually before I start, it's worth mentioning that as with all systems reviewed here at Nag3 there is the all important '30 day no questions asked' money back guarantee.

Ok, the system (or formula) itself is contained in an 18 page e-book and is easy to download.

The 3 stage selection process is very simple to understand and implement. All the information you require can be found using the Betfair and Racing Post websites. It took less than 10 minutes to go through today's cards to source out the selections and possible selections.

So far I make it that there is just one horse to lay for today but as this system relies on Betfair prices, which are always fluctuating, there could be more later.

It recommends starting off small (from little acorns.....) so that is what I shall do. It also requires you to follow a progressive staking plan which is clearly explained in the manual. As you are laying mainly odds-on horses there are bound to be plenty of winners (therefore losers) but the key to this system is patience.

For my first 'lay', it's to £10 from a recommended starting bank of £1740 and with fingers firmly crossed we'll see how it gets on. (You can stake from as little as £2 with this system.) We'll follow it's progress until the end of the month and then review the situation depending on how it's performing.


Basically, from what I have seen so far, what you get is a very simple system that has to be followed strictly and with patience as the keyword. They're not claiming an overnight fortune rather a steady, progressive build up of your bank.

It looks good in theory but only time will tell whether it's worth the price. Keep watching this space.

The sales pitch is here; Little Acorns Low Liability Laying Formula

There's also the added bonus (while stocks last) of a free pair of binoculars with every purchase. A bit strange but, hey, everyone loves a freebie!

------------

Friday Fun

Paul Newman, who sadly died last month, was for me, one of the greatest movie stars ever and was without doubt, one of the good guys.

He made some great films throughout his career but The Sting will always be my favourite. I can't believe that anyone who is into horse-racing won't have already seen it but if you haven't....get down to Blockbusters now! This film has everything- great acting, great score, great plot and a killer ending. Do ya folla?

Here are a few clips from the film and a little tribute to the late, great Paul Newman.....





Good luck,
Gavin.

Newmarket Saturday....

With a jam packed days racing ahead of us on Saturday I thought I'd take a trends based look at a couple of the feature races from Newmarket.

What's the longest horse race run during the U.K. Flat Season?

No, it's not the Cesarewitch or even the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot it is....

The Grand National!! But seeing as that race is some time away I'll have a look first at Saturday's Tote Cesarewitch.

- Bizarrely for a race run over such a marathon trip the draw has proved a decisive factor in determining the result with no horse drawn lower than 17 proving successful in the last 10 years!

- There has only been 1 winning favourite in the last 15 years.

- There has only been 1 winning 3-y-o since 1991 and since 1998 not a single one of the 22 3-y-o's who have lined up finished in the top 4!

It would seem that the favourite Askar Tau has it all to do.

- 10 of the last 13 winners carried less than 9st 1lb.

- 7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 4 last time out.

- Trainers to beware of include;
Sir Mark Prescott who has never won the Cesarewitch despite many fancied runners.
Paul Cole's last 7 runners in the Cesarewitch have all been beaten
Gary Moore has seen all of his 8 runners finish unplaced
Amanda Perrett beats that with her last 11 runners all finishing out of the frame and
John Dunlop who has just two 3rd places to show from his 13 runners.

I've had my eye on Askar Tau for this race for some time and have a juicy 12/1 ante-post wager riding on him but having seen the stats and recent trends it's not looking so promising now. With the added disadvantage of a low draw he now looks a definite lay.

The two horses that have obviously been laid out for this race are the Hobbs and Pipe trained duo Mamlook & Liberate. Both haven't been seen out since just failing in the Ascot Stakes Handicap way back at June's Royal Meeting and both look set to run big races. Pipe Snr used to target this race with his hurdlers and it looks like Junior has done the same with Mamlook.

Fitness is never a question with a Pipe horse and he's obviously been kept back with this race in mind.

The same applies to the Hobbs horse Liberate and the trainer won this race back in 2006 with a similar type Detroit City. Jumps trainers have been farming this race recently and with both having a good draw a strong case can be made for backing both of these.

Gee Dee Nen fits all the trends and also ran a great race in the Northumberland Plate, a big pointer to this race. With Frankie on board he looks as good as any but unfortunately we have missed the price and I can't bring myself to back him at around the 7/1 mark.

The only other one to consider using these trends is the reliable Bogside Theatre. He's run with great credit in most of the big staying races this season and has been unlucky not to have won one.

This marathon trip should suit him well and Ladbroke's 33/1 looks mighty tempting each way.

The two for me against the field would be Mamlook and Bogside Theatre

-----------

Champion Stakes


- 3 and 4-y-o's have won 21 of the last 24 Champion Stakes
- Pride the 2006 winner was the first 6-y-o winner since the war .

Only 1 favourite has won in the last 10 years

- 9 of the last 11 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out

- Aiden O'Brien has never won this race

- 6 of the last 10 winners were winning their first Group 1 race.

Obviously New Approach is a worthy favourite and should run a great race but at around 11/10 I'm willing to take him on due to the poor recent record of market leaders.

French trained horses usually run well in this race and Andre Fabre's Russian Cross looks set for a bold bid, but again, at around 5/1, there doesn't seem to be much value in backing him at those odds. I'd be interested at around twice the price but Mr Fabre's reputation has the bookies running for cover and as such this lightly raced colt won't be carrying my cash.

Aiden O'Brien's record in the race would seem to give Hebridean little chance, according to the trends Linngari is too old, the ever consistent Pipedreamer is sure to run his race but has been on the go for a long time and Gosden's other runner Upton Grey is hopelessly outclassed.

I would love to see Henry Cecil finally win a Group 1 race this season after so many near misses but I think Phoenix Tower was the number 1 Warren Place hope before his career ending injury. Twice Over is an able substitute though and after his hit and miss season along with a troubled run last time out he certainly would be due a change of luck. He has the form to win it and looks set to run a big race.

It is with great reluctance that I will pass him over in favour of a couple of decent priced runners Traffic Guard and City Leader.

Traffic Guard doesn't have that much to find on the form book with New Approach and at the current odds of 14/1 it may be worth taking a chance that his 2nd in the Irish Champion was no fluke. He fits all of the recent trends and with the weight for age allowance now only 4lb, he looks to me, cracking each way value.

The other horse that catches my eye is the Brian Meehan trained City Leader. A truly run 10 furlongs on goodish going looks the perfect race conditions for this 3-y-o and I can see this one staying on nicely coming out of the famous Newmarket dip. At 40/1 he's got to be worth a little each way tickle and could even surprise at these massive odds for the trainer responsible for the 2005 winner David Junior (25/1).

----------

With the trial of the Betting Machine faltering before it got started I thought we'd better find a system that can deliver the goods for us.

One product that seems to be getting decent reviews at the moment and has been a regular feature in my email inbox is the Little Acorns Low-Liability System.

The sales page is here.......Little ACORNS

It's not cheap but apparently it has been doing rather well and they're giving away a free pair of binoculars with all purchases so I think it's time we tested it ourselves and let you all know just how good (or bad) it really is.

So starting tomorrow we'll try again with a brand new system review.

Until then......
Good luck,
Gavin.

System review....

The Betting Machine System Review

I've paid my £20 and downloaded the software so it's all systems go! Let the trials begin.

Or not....

Having successfully initiated a trial run yesterday, this morning I received an email informing me of a temporary technical problem which prevents me from accessing the software.

Not a great start and when coupled with the fact that it tipped two losers yesterday, including one at 4/9, I'm inclined to forget the Betting Machine and find another product to review.

The problems have still to be resolved as I write this but I have had another email with the day's selections.

The only problem with this, is that the system is based around a staking plan and you need the software to tell you how much to place on each horse. After yesterdays losers my starting bank has taken a hit, 4/9 beaten favourites tend to do that to your betting bank, and I was at least curious to find out how it goes about retrieving these losses.

So all in all, it's probably best to bin this review and move on to another product which is what I plan to do from tomorrow.

The author of the product does offer a 100% money back guarantee so I can at least find out if this works!

------------

No such problems with the BETBOTPRO which continues to do exactly what it says on the tin.

It placed my TTS wagers with no problems yesterday and a nicely matched 9/2 winner was just the ticket. Lets hope for more of the same today.

The sales page is here......BETBOTPRO

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I'll be back tomorrow with a trends based look at Saturdays Cesarewitch and Champion Stakes but until then,

Good Luck,
Gavin.

The Betting Machine....

System Review

With my form taking another hit at the weekend I thought it might be best to give you all a rest for the week and find someone else to provide us with some selections.

I'll pick it up again for Saturday's mouth watering Champion Stakes meeting but until then it's over to The Betting Machine.....

I'm going to review this system until the end of the month and put my hard earned cash on the line to see just how good, or bad, it performs.

At £19.95 it's one of the cheapest products on the market so I'm not too sure what to expect but as always, I'll be reviewing it with an open mind and giving you, the readers, an honest appraisal of the systems pros and cons.

It comes as a fully automated software package that firstly picks the horses and secondly, offers a progressive staking plan that tells you how much to place on each horse.

I'll be back tomorrow morning with a look at the days picks but if you want to read some more about the system / software you can go here;

The Betting Machine

------------

Talking of automated betting software, I wrote yesterday about the BetBotPRO which aims to take the hassle out of placing your daily bets.

Well, I'm pleased to announce that it is indeed hassle free and has many great features.

Probably it's number one advantage though is the simple fact that there are no further charges to pay once you have purchased it. Unlike most 'bots on the market once you've bought it, that's it. -No subscriptions, no monthly payments and no extra charges.

I'm not sure how long the current price structure will last so would advise anyone on the lookout for a Betting Bot to take advantage of the 3 day free trial to see if the BETBOTPRO is right for you.

You can read all about it and take the FREE 3 day trial by clicking here: BETBOTPRO

------------

Good luck,

THE BETBOTPRO

Betting Bots

Earlier this year I took a Laying 'Bot for a spin and put it through its paces. The LayBotPRO was its name and a quality piece of software it was too.

Very easy to use and full of features the LayBotPRO was my first and last forray into the World Of Bots. I still use it everyday and quite simply there was no need to look any further as this Bot has it all. If you Lay horses or Greyhounds on Betfair this 'Bot will revolutionise your betting. You can read all about it here; LAYBOTPRO

"All very well" I hear you say "but I don't like laying horses I prefer to back them".

In that case I have some very good news for you because the creator of the LAYBOTPRO has brought out a new version that now allows you to back horses and greyhounds as well as Lay them.

Obviously called BETBOTPRO this is a brand new Automated Betfair API Software which will supercharge your betting activities while you're away at work, down the pub, on the golf course or doing whatever takes your fancy.

Its multiple features allow you to bet on UK/US/AUS/RSA Horse Racing & UK/AUS Greyhound racing. You can select the 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th favourites or bet an individual/multiple horse or greyhound to win or lose in that race.

If you follow a tipster or are backing the TTS horses you can simply load up the selections and leave the 'Bot to get on with placing your bets while you simply sit back sipping Pimms on your luxury yacht.

As the sales page says "This software takes the hassle out of betting. You simply need to spend a few minutes everyday to select your selections and BetBotPRO will do the rest."

Best of all, you can take the BETBOTPRO for a free 3 day trial with absolutely no catch.

Other great features of this 'Bot include;

*Place bets 1sec - 10min before the race starts

*Stop loss & profit target

*Multiple staking plans

*Min - Max odds range filter

*Simulation Mode - Allows you test strategies, tipsters services or your own ideas without risking REAL MONEY!

* Plus much, much more.....

It really is a fantastic automated bet processor but don't take my word for it....watch a video of the 'Bot in action for yourself and take advantage of the 3 day FREE trial.

Simply click here; BETBOTPRO

If you are looking for a betting bot that is easy to use and does exactly what you need it to, then I honestly think this is the best one on the market for the money.

Try the 3 day, no catch FREE trial and see for yourself how affective this Bot is......

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Friday Fun Anagrams.

With only 4 all correct answers for Friday's Quiz I think I can conclude that anagrams aren't everyone's cup of tea. Anyway, here are the answers;

1 Peter Scudamore
2 Breeders Cup
3 Dancing Brave
4 Swinley Bottom
5 Grand National
6 Lester Piggott
7 Desert Orchid
8 Tattenham Corner
9 Micheal Stoute
10 Red Rum

The winner of the fantastic 7 in 1 casino set is Mike (?) from Bolton. I don't have your full name or address but your prize will be dispatched as soon as you email me your details.

Very well done Sir!

Thanks to all those who had a go and to those that didn't, I'll try and make it a bit easier next time.

Good Luck,
Gavin.

Saturday Selections...

First things first, an apology. I think I may have made the Friday Fun quiz a bit too hard. As I write this post, there have only been 2 all correct answers received!

With a £60 prize on offer it may pay to have another go at the anagrams as the odds of you winning are pretty good at the moment. See yesterdays post for the questions (they are a mix of horses, jockeys, trainers and sections of racecourses....)

---------

Now onto today's racing and a few races on CH4 from Musselburgh!!!!

2:10 Muss

Statistically you need a low draw and with that in mind I think that Geojimali could offer the value in the opening contest. Princess Ellis has been in good form recently and has an ideal draw in stall 2 but of most interest to me is how the high drawn horses fair as a guide to the 3:15

2:40 Muss

An interesting race where I find myself drawn to top weighted Acropolis. Merchant Of Dubai and Gordonsville are both leading fancies whereas Lost Soldier Three is a rare long distance horse from 'the King Of The Sprints' D Nicholls yard but the biggest danger looks to come from Record Breaker.

3:15 Muss

An absolute cracker of a sprint with Portland winner Hogmaneigh up against a couple of old favourites of ours, Fullandby and Siren's Gift. This is where my interest in the 2:10 comes in as Siren's Gift is drawn 14, which is probably the wrong side. If he had been drawn anywhere in stalls 1-8 I would have said he was banker material and if the earlier race indicates high has any chance then I will be wagering in heavily. If it transpires that it has to be low then Indian Trail will be a speculative e/w shot for me.

Given that Cheveton is drawn high in 17 and has 100% record (5-5) over today's trip and River Falcon, who was 2nd in the Portland, coming out of stall 16 it could well create a separate race up the far side and give Siren's Gift the pace he needs. This is just enough to convince me to stick with him and hopefully recoup previous losses.
Selection: Sirens Gift.

-----------

Last Saturday's Placepot attempt was very disappointing but with the size of those fields and all the 2-y-o races it was never going to be easy.

I'm hoping Ascot proves easier to crack this week and here are my thoughts, some trends and a Placepot perm.....

1:10 Ascot A tricky affair to open the card and with a maximum field of 20 it's not the best way to start our Placepot attempt.

Recent trends;
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already won over 5f
- 8 of the last 10 had won within their last two starts
- 7 of the last 10 won last time out with the other 3 being beaten in a Group Race.
- 12/1 is the biggest priced winner in the last 10 years

Not too much to go on and with the draw likely to play a big part I'm going to take three against the field to try and get through the first leg. Mrs Kipling looks exceedingly good for a place, as do Magic Cat and Light The Fire.


1:45 Ascot


An interesting Group 3 where Sir Gerry's 3rd in the Diadem here 2 weeks ago looks the best form on offer. That day I tipped Prime Defender who ran a cracker and only just failed to reward our e/w wager but I don't really fancy his chances on this slower ground.


A couple of runners I do like the look of are Dark Missile and Zidane. They both need a proper race run with a good gallop, not like the Diadem where the early pace was too slow. Dark Missile was drawn 13 that day and raced up the outside whereas here he has stall 8 so should get plenty of cover this time. Zidane has stall 2 which should help with his finishing burst if the gaps open up for him. I think these 2 against the field is value and if pushed for a preference would have to side with Zidane.

2:20 Top weighted Young Mick (NAP) looks for compensation for his unlucky run last time over today's CD. With Ryan Moore aboard he should run very well at his beloved Ascot and I make him a great bet to get off the mark for the season. Of the others, it will be interesting to see whether Magicalmysterytour 'bounces' today after his latest win following a long layoff. Allied Powers will enjoy this softish ground and is a big danger but I'm going to add Cool Judgement for the Placepot with the hope that this drop back in trip works the oracle.

2:50 A small field which is normally where the PP goes down and if we are still going then lets put our hopes on Weald Park from R Hannons all conquering 2yo team and Alazeyab from the in form M Jarvis yard.

3:30 A tricky race where Taameer looks to have a solid chance and should at least make the frame. I will back that up with Talking Hands who is better than his 3rd on the all-weather last time where there was no gallop early on. He needs a real test to get the best out of him and he could surprise at big odds.

4:05 Not the easiest last leg but with Stoutes improving 3yo Ascot Lime, who has bottom weight, and A Baldings Amanjena, who is a C&D winner, I'm pretty confident that we have a good chance if we make it this far .


6-7-20
10-12-13
1-14
2-5
8-9
10-11 = 144 bets



Good Luck,
Gavin.

Are you a Super Punter?.....

It seems everybody is offering advice on how to be a successful punter at the moment, Bruce Millington was at it in his Racing Post column last week, Matt was doing it on his excellent new blog http://www.geegeez.co.uk/ and just about every betting site worth its salt has had their say on the matter.

But we all know what we should be doing, it's just not that easy is it?

So, in the style of those womens magazines the missus seems to really enjoy, here's the Nag3 what-type-of-punter-are-you? test.....

Question 1
It's Grand National Saturday and there's a dead cert running in the Selling Maiden Auction Stakes 6.45 at Great Leighs. Do you...

A) Have one bet that day, in the 6.45 Great Leighs, to your usual stake.
B) Bet the horse at Great Leighs but have a bet in the National, come on it is THE GRAND NATIONAL
C) Back your 6 selections each-way in the National. Have a double on the horse at Great Leighs with your National horses. Throw in the 2.30 & 3.00 Aintree for a few Lucky 15's and do a combination forecast / tricast on the National just in case.

Question 2
You really fancy 4 horses running that Saturday afternoon. So you....

A) Have 4 equal stake singles on all 4 selections
B) Go to Betfred and have a Lucky 15. A big % bonus for all 4 winners is mighty tempting.
C) Have a Lucky 15. There's a couple of other races on CH4 so I'll make it a Lucky 31 plus one more on the BBC for a Lucky 63. Oh, there's 3 on the Beeb not 2, better make it a Super Heinz for something to watch.

Question 3

A horse you fancied last weekend got beat but is running again today. Obviously you would...

A) Weigh up the form but give it a miss today because of the ground and it's bad draw.
B) Give it another chance as I did fancy it last week.
C) Back it again. I'd hate to see it win with none of my money on it. There's another horse running in the next race with a name that sounds similar so I'll stick that in a double. Oooh, there's another one I always back, a Patent it is then!

Question 4

You're invited by a friend for a day at the races on the local course. You kindly accept his offer and...
A) Have one bet at the 'away' meeting as it's the only horse you fancy that day. You watch the live racing without a bet just in case you spot a potential winner next time out.
B) Have a bet in every race making sure you get the best odds from whichever bookie is the top price. It's not much fun at the races without having a bet.
C) Have a crack at the Placepot and Jackpot then the Quadpot. Have an exacta on the Tote, an each way Tote bet because the odds are big and then go to the betting ring and put some more bets on with the first bookie you see. Back to the bar and another bet with the Tote...A Trifecta? that sounds fun...Tote Super7... what's this about? Go on then, in for a penny....

Question 5

You've picked out a horse for the big Saturday race and it's currently 25/1 with only one firm. To your dismay Pricewise has picked it as his headline tip. What's the best course of action...

A) Get up early and visit the shop offering the 25/1 using their Guaranteed Price window.
B) Back it on Betfair at just under 22/1
C) Stroll down to Ladbrokes (it's the closest shop) and take the 8/1 that's now on offer . Somebody must know something with the price coming down like that, great value!

Question 6

You've weighed up the 2.30 Yarmouth and you make the favourite a 1/3 chance. It opens up at 4/7....

A) Excellent value. My usual stake and take the 4/7 please.
B) No bet for me, I don't bet odds-on.
C) Pah 4/7. Anyone can back a favourite. Let's find a nice 33/1 shot to try to beat it. Oh Storm Cat is running, I used to have a cat called Stormy, that'll do nicely.

Question 7

You're experiencing a bad run, do you...

A) Continue betting the same stake using the same way of selecting your horses as you always do. Bad runs happen to everyone.
B) Try something different. Follow Tony McCoy's mounts, he always has a winner.
C) Have just one more bet, you've got to get back the money you're down.... plus a little extra. try the 5.37 Crayford....5.44 Steepledowns..Still no good?.... the 49's....the online roulette machine...My lucks gotta change!....8.35 Belmont....9.18 Sprint Valley.....Never give up!!

Question 8

You walk into a betting shop for a bet...

A) The manager is straight on the phone to get permission to take your bet. You are offered £50 each way at 14's instead of the £200 each way you wanted. You have a nickname (Glasses, Golfman, Porsche...) that the manager uses to identify you to his superiors.
B) The manager knows your name and you're always offered a cup of tea
C) Everyone in the shop knows your name, even the cleaner! Free tea and coffee all day plus biscuits. Personal Xmas card from the Manager with a free Betting voucher. You get invited on the Staff night out.



All A's..........SuperPunter..Disciplined, studious, value seeking Bookie Basher.
Mostly A's...Well on your way to SuperPunter. Bookies fear you.
Mostly B's...There's still hope but you're a long way from SuperPunter status.
Mostly C's..Ever thought of giving up?
All C's......SuperMugPunter.....The bookies friend

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TTS Subscribers

If providing loads of winners wasn't value enough for all you TTS Subscribers we now have a Free Download available for all members.

We have put together an All Weather Trainer Stats Manual and called it Trainer Sand Stats (TSS) which we hope will prove as successful as the current TTS. You can download it from the daily selections page in the TTS members area.

Another winning day on Wednesday saw our overall profit soar to just over +37 points, using Betfair prices, or to put it in real money terms....over £740 for £20 stakes! Good times.

We have plenty of prospective runners at Carlisle today and if you want to join in the fun simply click here....TTS 08/09

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Friday Fun

I have another great prize to giveaway this week.

It's a fantastic 7 in 1 Casino Games Set and is worth £60. It has Roulette, Poker, Blackjack, Craps and many other games and comes complete with everything you need to have a great night in. Cased in a solid wooden box it's a quality piece of gaming equipment and to win it all you have to do is solve these anagrams. They all have a racing theme....


1) come departures

2) speed curber

3) bring advance

4) snottily embow

5) aland ignorant

6) tipster toggle

7) horsed direct

8) anchor treatment

9) lite moustache

10) murder

Send in your answers to quiz@nag-nag-nag.co.uk before midnight Sunday and the first correct answer drawn out of the hat wins the Casino Set.

Good Luck,
Gavin.

A date with some calendars....

Hello dear readers and apologies for the lack of recent posts, though given the form I was in last week the little break was probably a good thing!

The reason for my absence from the laptop is my Winter business where I operate a couple of shops for the Calendar Club. You may have seen them in a shopping centre near you boasting of 'the widest range of calendars in the known universe' and while I'm not sure what the Calendar range is like on Mars or Uranus they definitely do have the best on Earth. These include some very nice Racing ones which I'm sure will be offered as Friday Fun Prizes in the near future.

It's a change of pace from the betting shop but they do take a while to set up and this means I've had to leave the laptop alone for a couple of days. This has pleased the missus no end as she's always moaning about the time I spend online but it also means the emails have backed up a bit.

If you are awaiting a reply to an email sent in, I am sorry for the delay in getting back to you but I'm slowly going through them now and you should be getting your reply shortly. Thank you for your patience.....

------------

Anyway, enough of that and down to business with a couple of horses with a decent chance today (thanks to my brother Gary for picking these out for me)

1:40 Notts

This looks like the bet of the day if not the week. Fitz Flyer was a fast finishing 5th at Newmarket behind Elnawin and Bonnie Charlie (both winners since) before I tipped him to reverse the form in the hope a more positive ride could bring about the necessary improvement. Well, he got the more positive ride but wasn't quite good enough. Still, he was only beaten 2 lengths by Bonnie Charlie that day and with nothing in that league here, he is confidently expected to break his duck . Of the rest, Joe Carter looks the best prospect of filling the forecast spot.

3:40 Notts
Quite a competitive h'cap with a lot of the top stables fielding runners. With runners from the likes of P. Cole, H. Cecil ,G Wragg, J Gosden, L Cumani,M Jarvis and E Dunlop it might seem strange to want to tip a horse from the relatively unknown Mrs R A Carr yard but thats exactly what I'm going to do here.

Moheebb is the horse and you may have seen his run on Saturday where, over the inadequate trip of 1 mile, he finished like the proverbial train into 5th place. Obviously after helping myself to some 25/1 e/w he was always destined to finish 5th (don't you just hate that!). He has won over Hamiltons 1m1f trip in heavy going so this should be well within his compass.

Of the others there are plenty in form including Expesso Star, King Olav, Wind Shuffle and Persian Peril but I think the biggest threat could come from Tomintoul Flyer who has just been found out in the closing stages recently. This drop back to 10f might just be what he needs and I think a little saver on the Cecil beast is in order.

-----------

TTS has continued it's excellent September start with a couple of nice 8/1 winners over the weekend. With no jumps racing over the last two days it means we're still up over 35 points (Betfair odds) which must surely please even the most ardent critic. We have a number of runners today at Exeter and Towcester and hopefully they can continue the good run.

You can still get involved by clicking here.... TTS 08/09

Best of luck,
Gavin.

Juvenile overload....

We've had more than our fair share of 2-y-o races this week and with Redcar staging it's jewel of the season, The 2-y-o Trophy, and Newmarket unable to resist staging a few more, I'm beginning to suffer from Juvenile Overload!

Unfortunately, they're not getting any easier and with the 35 runner Cambridgeshire to overcome as well this has to be the hardest Placepot we've seen for some time...

Newmarket Placepot

2.10
If a £400,000 first prize can't guarantee a better field than this, then why bother with these sales races? Still one owner isn't going to be complaining come 2.20pm, I just wish I knew which one it would be.
Ratings wise, Ahla Wasahl and Kissing the Camera lead the way but their recent form leaves a lot to be desired and this race looks primed for a shock result. I'll have a crack with Moneycantbuymelove at a big price and the 'tipsters' horse Winged Harriet to get our Placepot off and running.

Remember, there's always the Quadpot!!

2.45
Liberation absolutely bolted up in an Ascot nursery last weekend and looks to be improving rapidly. Mark Johnston's other runner Cry of Freedom also holds good each way claims and this could be a nice payday for him with a near £1/2 million first prize on offer. Sri Putra is another to consider.

If we've made it this far, we can ditch the Quadpot get out plan and hopefully carry on the good work.

3.15 Sun Chariot Stakes
We'll go with the trends for this race and see what comes up...

- 7 of the last 8 winners were 3-y-o's
- 7 of the last 8 were in the top 3 last time out
- All 8 had won a Listed/Group race already that season
- Sir Michael Stoute has been responsible for 4 of the last 5 beaten favourites.

Mark Johnston has the best record in the race and his Nahoodh ran in the number 1 pointer for this, the Leopardstown Matron Stakes where she finished 2nd behind Lush Lashes. That is solid form and she has a great chance of turning over the hot favourite Darjina who always seems to find one too good. James Fanshawe's Spacious and Stoute's Heaven Sent are others to consider in a cracking Group 1 contest.

3.50 The Cambridgeshire
The longest sprint of the season with 35 runners going 1m 1f flat out. I previewed the race yesterday (see the post below) and decided on Military Cross and Yadree. I'm feeling as confident as you can be, when faced with a 35 runner handicap, that Military Cross is an excellent each way bet. With some firms paying the first 5 I'll definitely be taking some of the 33/1.

4.25
Big shock, another 2-y-o race but this time in the form of a Handicap.
These nurseries are always hard to fathom but it can sometimes pay to go with the top weight, so that's what I'll do. Feeling Fab and Calahonda for me.

5.00
It will be a miracle if we've got this far so I better not mess it up now. The consistent Dingaan looks a likely Placepot horse and I'll take Jeninsky as my second choice.

Given the nature of the races and the size of the fields I think we better revert to the Favourites Perm I explained a couple of weeks ago (Thursday 25th September)...

Perm

FAV & 11/18
FAV & 2/23
FAV & 4 & 9
FAV & 18/35
FAV & 1/6
FAV & 14/15 = 160 bets

For those Placepot punters unfamiliar with the perm or for those who haven't quite grasped it, here is a more conventional perm suggestion;

8/11/18 - 14/23 - 2 - 18/19/30/35 - 6/11 - 6/15 = 96 bets

------------

I'm on a roll now and might as well have a crack at the two TV races from Redcar. In for a penny, in for a pound....


2:25 Redcar

Older horses haven't perfomed that well in recent runnings and 3yo's have the best recent record which is some what surprising given the usual size of the field and race conditions. They have won 4 out of last 9. Of most interest though is the draw, 7 of last 9 were drawn 14,15,16,17 or 18 with 3 of those in stall 14. Using the formbook I had narrowed the race down to 3 contenders, namely Reel Buddy Star, Moheebb and Shotley Mac.



Using the draw stat I now believe Shotley Mac is excellent value at around 33/1. Ridden by D Fentiman, claiming 3lb and who has a 100% record on the horse, he had won two straight track handicaps before failing to handle the Pontefract bends last time out.

Back on the straight and narrow and from stall 14 the 33/1 has to be taken.




3:00 Redcar

Another race where draw bias in the trends shows 6 of last 10 winners drawn 8 or lower and it looks no different this year. Clear form picks are Total Gallery and Zuzu who are drawn 7 & 5.



Of the others Khor Dubai(10) and Captain Ellis(17) are interesting,whilst Brae Hill(12), with last weekends big h'cap combination Bell/Turner(Furnace), has a form chance. Cerito and Olynard have a little to find on the form of their respective nursery wins.



I have narrowed it down to the two contenders and preference is for Zuzu as I feel there is more improvement still to come. If your looking for a long shot then you could do worse than Captain Ellis at around 40/1.
------------

Finally, our old friend Swords runs in the 5.30 at Kempton and after all his wins he still only has a rating of 68. The style of his recent wins suggest he may still be ahead of the handicapper and have a race or two left in him, hopefully including this one.....



All that big field studying has given me a headache so I'm off to lie down in a dark room ready for tomorrows Arc.

Good luck,
Gavin.

Newmarket Day 2, Day 3 and the Arc....

With an early start, a 9 race card and a full weekend of punting opportunities it may pay to keep our powder dry. However, I've never been one to worry about a little dampness in the powder keg so here's a quick look at another tricky days racing at Racing HQ.

1:00
Banker Placepot material is Evasive. 3rd 1st time out and drawn on the favoured stands side in 4 he should be placed. As we all know bankers do get beat (Wingwalker!) so we'll add Stoic who is of most interest of the others from J Noseda's in form yard just to be safe.

1:30
A very difficult race to evaluate. A lot of these have formlines with top filly Rainbow View, the best of which are probably Snoqualmie Girl and Misdaqeya. They both have leading chances along with Ave and Intense (stablemate of Misdaqeya) but the one I really like is Nashmiah. Stall 13 is a concern but her form lines are solid and she has shown improvement in recent runs not least of which was last time out when 5th behind the colts in the Solario. The ground holds no worries either and she should run well.

2:05
The reliable Bankable looks banker material (try saying that after a few pints of scrumpy!). Eagle Mountain might find the trip on the sharp side and may also need this as it's his first run for nearly a year. Ordnance Row has it to do giving weight away.

2:40
No standout candidate on the form book and as the betting market suggests it's a very open affair. Langs Lash sets the standard but may struggle to get the lead from her 12 draw. She and Infamous Angel are quite evenly matched on their running in the Lowther. Serious Attitude has done nothing wrong but again is not drawn too well. I like the look of Mythical Border who ran well when 3rd in the Flying Childers and this step up in trip is sure to suit. With Frankie on board and drawn 2 she has it all going for her. Possible danger is Beyond Our Reach if she shows the necessary improvement from her last run.

3:10
Another 2-y-o race but one which looks easier to solve. Bushranger looks a good thing on the form of his Group 1 win with Gallagher looking the biggest threat.

3:45
More juveniles and not a lot to go on either. As it's the last leg of the Placepot and a potential minefield it may pay to chance our arm with three choices just in case we get this far. There are 3 with future Group 1 entries and interestingly they all have had a run (Emirates Roadshow, Hi Fling & Ra Junior). There are newcomers from all the top stables, so the market may well be the best guide to sorting this one out. On the early Betfair exchanges the unraced Wajaha from Gosden's stable is the favourite but it may pay to stick with the unnamed favourite and 2 others, namely Ra Junior and Battle Hero from Stoutes yard.

PP Perm
4-12
5-7-10
2
4-12
1-4
Fav-2-11 = 72 bets

-----------

With so much racing going on over the weekend I may be a little tight on space in my future posts so I'll take this opportunity to take a trends based look at the two main races;

The Cambridgeshire

- Bizarrely, since 1975 there have been no 5-y-o winners. Not a great trend for the favourite Swop!

- 22 of the last 27 winners were 3 & 4-y-o's with three 6-y-o's and two old-timers making up the numbers.

- in the last 27 runnings of the race, only one horse (100/1 shock winner Spanish Don) finished outside of the top 4 in its last run.

- In the last decade, only 1 winner has come from a single figure draw (Spanish Don again!)

- No horse has carried more than 9st 5lbs since 1995.

Applying these solid trends we are left with 10 of the 35 set to go to post.

Obviously we can't back all 10 so let's see if we can narrow it down a bit.....

Michael Stoute's record isn't that good with just one 2nd place from his 8 attempts so I'm going to swerve his Lang Shining. Ada River seems to have an impossible task with his handicap rating and is easily passed over. The inform Barry Hills runs two but his Feared in Flight will have to find considerable improvement to take this competitive handicap. His other runner Huzzah is closely matched with John Gosden's Virtual and both of these look sure to run big races.

Indian Days and Prince Kalamoun both ran in the John Smiths Stakes last time at Newbury and that race has thrown up the Cambridgeshire winner 3 times in the last decade. However, they were well beaten that day, by Previs, and it's hard to see either of them winning this much harder race.

If the race was run on the all weather Premier Loco would have a great chance but returned to turf over an extra furlong he may just struggle.

Which leaves me with two against the field...Yadree and Military Power.

Yadree is a lightly raced 3-y-o that fits the profile of previous winners and although it's hard to fancy anything too much in a 35 runner handicap over a straight 1m 1f, I'm sure he'll give us a good run for our money.

Military Power is another lightly raced 3-y-o and at around 33/1 is very interesting. He had looked highly progressive prior to his last run on the all weather and has excuses for his poor run that day. With the guaranteed strong pace in Saturday's race certain to suit and weighted to reverse Goodwood placings with Indian Days he will be my each way fancy for the race.

--------------

The Arc

There are some very strong trends in the premier, all aged, 1m 4f race of the season including;

- The last 9 winners had all already scored at Group 1 level
- No horse aged 6 or over has won the Arc since 1937
- 3-y-o's have won 11 of the last 14 Arcs
- No filly has won the Arc since 1993
- Andre Fabre has won the Arc 7 times since 1987

Though his record in the race is second to none, Andre Fabre has it all to do this year. Obviously, this has been Getaway's target all year but as an older horse yet to win at Group 1 level he doesn't look like number 8 to me.

The mightily impressive Zarkava looks to have an outstanding chance on form but does have to overcome the fact that she is a filly! With no winning females since Urban Sea in 1993 she looks vulnerable from a trends point of view.

Aiden O'Brien has two fancied runners but he may not follow up last years success with the great Dylan Thomas. Soldier of Fortune is looking to return from a near 100 day layoff but all of the last 10 winners had run within at least 47 days of the race. Surprise entry, Duke of Marmalade has had a very productive but tough campaign and may find the going against him and this race one Group 1 too many. Having said that it wouldn't shock me if Mr O'Brien bucked the trends (again!!).

Which leaves, of the fancied horses, the unbeaten Vision D'Etat. Winner of the Prix Niel, which has provided every one of the last eight 3-y-o winners, he doesn't have to find a great deal on the form book and at around 8/1 he looks the value.

-------------

Friday Fun

With it being Arc weekend what else could we have for the Friday Fun feature other than a classic clip from that French themed comedy fest, 'Allo 'Allo and the fantastic Officer Crabtree.

Good Moaning, you are having a pocnoc?.....





Good luck,
Gavin.

Newmarket Placepot perm....

After yesterday's poor showing I think my Sprint King crown may be slipping. With a very tricky card at Newmarket today, including a lot of big field 2-y-0 races to tackle, and given my recent Placepot success I thought I'd try that instead....

2:00 Newmarket Not a lot of form to go on, but Alhaque's run over CD 13 days ago is sound and with this valuable experience he should be thereabouts. Of the newcomers, Michael Stoute's Jedi could be the best.

2:35 Newmarket Crikey, this is a tough one and with Newmarket having no discernable draw bias we're going to have to play both sides. Should it be low then Excellerator or Kingship Spirit look to fight it out but should high prevail then I see it between Queen Of Thebes and Diddums. The quality horses seem to be drawn low and I think the value bet could be Kingship Spirit.

3:10 Newmarket Savarain looks to have a great chance he's 4lb well in on BHB ratings but the extra distance might not suit so I will stick with the rapidly improving The Betchworth Kid.

3:45 Newmarket Henry Cecil can continue his revival with Wingwalker (Nap) taking this Group 3. There was a lot to like about his Sandown win and if winning here will head for the Dewhurst later in the month.

4:20 Newmarket Main Aim takes a big leap in class and along with a number of others has a lot of improvement to find especially with the likes of Peace Offering & Rowe Park. I like the look of last years winner Judd Street who bounced back to form at Haydock on Saturday and looks set to follow up. Our old friend Sirens Gift runs here and with a more restrained ride may surprise at decent odds.

4:55 Newmarket A small field but still very tricky with a couple of in form sprinters in the field, namely Perfect Flight and Angus Newz. Manzila and Masada both have some good form whereas Final Destiny and Bastakiya have very little racing between them. I'm going to take a chance on two from the bottom of the handicap, Broken Applause and Temple Of Thebes, with slight preference for the first named to be placed at decent odds.

Placepot Perm.

Race 1: 2 x 8
Race 2: 7 x 19 x 25
Race 3: 4 x 5
Race 4: 9
Race 5: 3 x 4 x 12
Race 6: 5 x 7 x 9 = 108 bets

Good luck,

Gavin.