Royal Ascot Trends: Saturday cont...
The Wokingham.
A 28 runner handicap over 6 furlongs, easy peasy!
I've had Tombi as the horse to back for this race since his win at York last time. I still think he's the best bet in the race but let's see what the stats say,
- Only one horse aged over 6 has ever won this race, first run in 1896!
That's goodbye to the 3 equine OAP's
- 10 of the last 11 winners finished in the first four last time out.
11 more down, 14 to go
- 6 of the last 7 winners ran no more than twice earlier in the season.
Only 7 left to choose from.
- Four and five-year-olds have won 8 of the last 9 renewals
Now we have 4.
It usually pays to go with the high or low draws and leave the ones stranded in the middle alone and with Tomba fitting all the right stats and just being drawn low enough I will put him up as a very strong fancy and my nap of the meeting.
Selection: Tomba
Danger: Tamagin
Duke of Edinburgh Handicap
Some big age and weight trends for this race with;
- 9 of the last 11 winners carrying 9st+
and
- 17 of the last 19 winners being aged four or five.
Unfortunately that doesn't seem to reduce the field by very many.
However, when we see that;
- Last-time-out winners have won 7 of the last 13 runnings
We are left with just two runners: Ezdiyaad and Proponent
With Ezdiyaad being doubtful because of the ground the selection is Proponent, whose jockey and trainer have already won a big handicap this week.
Sir Michael Stoute has won this 3 times in the last decade and his Sugar Ray is feared most.
Last mention is to a horse that surely must win a big handicap soon, Smart Instinct. He always seems to find trouble in running and one day he is going to pop up at a big price.
Selection: Proponent
Danger: Sugar Ray
The Queen Alexandra Stakes
The last and certainly the least appealing of all the races run at Royal Ascot this 2m 5 1/2f race is a bit of a strange ending to the Royal meeting.
Basically, you need a horse aged under 7-y-o, fancied in the betting and who has been running in group/listed races throughout his career (but stay away from dual purpose horses.)
Horses that have run at the meeting already that week do well also.
Selection: Honolulu
Danger: Enjoy the moment
That's all folks.
Gavin.
P.S. Don't forget that Trainer Flat Stats will only be available to buy until the last race at Royal Ascot.
Get it now by going to
http://www.trainerflatstats.com/
A 28 runner handicap over 6 furlongs, easy peasy!
I've had Tombi as the horse to back for this race since his win at York last time. I still think he's the best bet in the race but let's see what the stats say,
- Only one horse aged over 6 has ever won this race, first run in 1896!
That's goodbye to the 3 equine OAP's
- 10 of the last 11 winners finished in the first four last time out.
11 more down, 14 to go
- 6 of the last 7 winners ran no more than twice earlier in the season.
Only 7 left to choose from.
- Four and five-year-olds have won 8 of the last 9 renewals
Now we have 4.
It usually pays to go with the high or low draws and leave the ones stranded in the middle alone and with Tomba fitting all the right stats and just being drawn low enough I will put him up as a very strong fancy and my nap of the meeting.
Selection: Tomba
Danger: Tamagin
Duke of Edinburgh Handicap
Some big age and weight trends for this race with;
- 9 of the last 11 winners carrying 9st+
and
- 17 of the last 19 winners being aged four or five.
Unfortunately that doesn't seem to reduce the field by very many.
However, when we see that;
- Last-time-out winners have won 7 of the last 13 runnings
We are left with just two runners: Ezdiyaad and Proponent
With Ezdiyaad being doubtful because of the ground the selection is Proponent, whose jockey and trainer have already won a big handicap this week.
Sir Michael Stoute has won this 3 times in the last decade and his Sugar Ray is feared most.
Last mention is to a horse that surely must win a big handicap soon, Smart Instinct. He always seems to find trouble in running and one day he is going to pop up at a big price.
Selection: Proponent
Danger: Sugar Ray
The Queen Alexandra Stakes
The last and certainly the least appealing of all the races run at Royal Ascot this 2m 5 1/2f race is a bit of a strange ending to the Royal meeting.
Basically, you need a horse aged under 7-y-o, fancied in the betting and who has been running in group/listed races throughout his career (but stay away from dual purpose horses.)
Horses that have run at the meeting already that week do well also.
Selection: Honolulu
Danger: Enjoy the moment
That's all folks.
Gavin.
P.S. Don't forget that Trainer Flat Stats will only be available to buy until the last race at Royal Ascot.
Get it now by going to
http://www.trainerflatstats.com/
posted by Gavin at
16:51
2 Comments:
how did you do overall at ascot mate? some very difficult races to pick winners from i thought
Hi, You're spot on when you say there were some difficult races but it's still the best race meeting of the year for me and it does make it even more rewarding when you find a winner.
As for me, I had a good Tuesday and some nice priced placed horses on Friday but Saturday was a disasterous day and meant I lost overall on the week.
Also, nice to see the two horses I tipped in the Oaks both romp home without any of my money on them...
Hope you had a good week yourself and good luck with your future punting,
Gavin
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