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Monday, 16 June 2008

Royal Ascot Trends: Queen Anne Stakes

The first race of the Royal Ascot meeting and raised to Group 1 status in 2003, the Queen Anne run over the straight mile has some very strong recent trends,

- No filly has won this race in 50 years of trying, so the two ladies seem up against it.

- Last 23 winners were either 4 or 5 years old. So the two equine OAPs bite the dust.

- The last 6 winners had all scored at Group 1 level. Three of the runners remaining haven't managed it yet.

- 9 of the last 10 winners came from the first 4 in the betting and since 1980 only 4 horses have won at odds of over 10/1. Bye Bye to Mount Nelson.

- Only 1 overseas winner since the mid 1970's. Au revoir Sageburg

This leaves Haradasun as the only horse left to fit all the major trends. Another strong plus for this horse is the very good record of horses beaten in the Lockinge (3 of the last 6 winners). Let's hope for an improved show from this very talented beast.

One more 'trend' worth noting is Sir Michael Stoutes record in this race. From 9 runners he has only had 1 of them finish outside the top 4. Even more amazing is the fact that 8 of these had started at bigger odds than 11/2. Linngari is an interesting runner.

Selection: Haradasun
Danger: Linngari

Gavin.

p.s. Six days left to get TFS before the window closes forever. Click here for your copy.

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