Royal Ascot Trends- Friday's races
Forget last years shock 6 length 25/1 winner and the trends are quite good for this race.
- Not surprisingly, 9 out of the last 10 winners had run in either the English, Irish or French 1000 guineas.
- 14 of the last 17 winners had finished in the top 3 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at least at Group 3 level
Applying these trends leaves us with a shortlist of;
Carribean Sunset, Modern Look and Spacious
Interestingly, since 1993 only 2 horses placed in the Newmarket Guineas have come on to win the Coronation Stakes so I will eliminate Spacious on this basis.
Difficult to split the pair that are left but I will side with Carribean Sunset as she looks to have the edge on a line through Halfway to Heaven.
Selection: Carribean Sunset
Danger: Modern Look
King Edward VII Stakes
The 'Ascot Derby' but not a single horse that ran in the Epsom Derby set to contest this years race.
- Ireland have only had one winner in the last 30 years.
Cheerio to Hebridean, Moiqen and Winchester to be sure.
- 11 of the last 12 winners had not yet won over 1m4f+
Here we lose All the Aces
- 11 of the last 13 winners were winning a Group race for the first time
Another one bites the dust, City Leader
- 12 of the last 14 winners started favourite or second-favourite
Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 4 times since 1991 and with Conduit likely to be towards the front of the betting I will side with him
Selection: Conduit
Danger: Campanologist





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