Royal Ascot Trends: 30 runner cavalry charge

Brittania Stakes H'Cap

Probably the hardest and most competitive 3-y-o only handicap run all year.

It usually goes to an unexposed runner from a top stable but there has been no winner in the last decade coming into this race having won a maiden last time out. Henry Cecil's well fancied Rattan would therefore be eliminated.

- 27 of the last 33 winners carried 9 stone or less. That takes the top 6 out.

- Last 16 winners finished in the top 4 last time out.
- 9 of the last 11 winners had raced no more than 7 times

This whittles the field a bit and leaves 11 remaining but now it gets a bit tougher.

To try and cut the field further, 8 of the last 16 winners won last time out. Not a great stat but we need to start somewhere.

Newmarket trainers have dominated this race in the last decade and for this reason I will stick with last years winning trainer M. Bell.

He trains Redford and he looks to have a good a chance as any in this tight field. He won nicely on his re-appearance and fits all the right trends.

Selection: Redford
Danger: Thebes

Gavin