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Tuesday, 27 May 2008

Well Done If You...

...followed the advice here, dear reader, because we've had a cracking few days.

As you know, I'm not normally prone to hyperbole, and certainly I'm generally more self-effacing than I'm likely to be in this post. But...

Favourites Phenomenon continues to lay an egg a day (note, it's not a golden one) for its followers, so well done to you if you're in. If you're not, you still can be by going here:



And TrainerFlatStats has had a fine few days, and was boosted today with winners at 5/1 and 14/1. That means that the betfair profit position (16% above SP, with a 4.5% commission paid on winning bets) is a very pleasing £787 for just £20 stakes.

In fact, even if you'd bet at SP with your high street bookie (not that any of you savvy folks still do that!), you'd be up £401 for the same £20 units.

Now, I just want to pause for a second here... I want to address the nay-sayers and the refund merchants momentarily. My TFS web page explicitly states

If you're looking for every bet to be a winner, then this is NOT for you either. The statistics show that over the season you will show a tidy profit, but your first bet (and even your second and third bets) may not yield a winner.

And yet, still, I had people ask for their money back the day after they'd bought it. If you're one of these people, I'll say this in your defence: you may well have been directed to me from another product vendor who you trust, and you may never have heard of me.

If that is you, I hope that you've now realised from the frank and in some cases scathing product assessments I post here, that I only favourably review things that I believe are genuinely good. I won't always get it right, but I almost always will, and I will only ever review products that offer a full 'no arguments' money back guarantee. That's the deal!

Ok, so that's off my chest. You unfortunately can't buy TFS, because I got fed up with the scam artists and rip off scumbags who posted the download link on forum sites (and, if I'm honest, the next day refund brigade as well). I pulled it from sale for these reasons, even though of course I could have sold more.

You can still get a free trial for seven days of the email subscription, and this is the only way you can get access to TFS. Click here if you're interested in the TFS free trial, though of course you've probably signed up on the start of a downward curve! ;o)

But, well done if you either purchased the guide when you could, or signed up to the email subscription service either then or since. (Season results can be found here...)

Enough of this merry self-serving back-slapping, and onto tomorrow's racing!

******

It's Beverley folks, and you know what that means!

Tomorrow's card is the feature in their racing calendar, with the Listed 2yo fillies' race, the Hilary Needler Trophy over... five furlongs. Woohoo!

High draw right? Hmm... You'd think so wouldn't you after our recent gravy train exploits by blindly backing the high numbers, but three of the last four winners have been drawn 1, 3 and 1, all in double digit fields.

Belligerent as ever, and blinded by this season's success to date, I'm going to ignore that little microcosm of draw perversity, and go high again. And I'm actually going to go with the highest of the high.

Percolator, in box 14 (of 14), has won his last two races by an aggregate of eight and a half lengths (value for ten plus), and might just go clear and stay clear. I reckon she's headed for Royal Ascot after this. You heard it here first.

If you want something a little more speculative, then pay attention to Christine Dunnett, the Queen of Yarmouth (what a title!). She does very well at the Norfolk gaff, and I reckon Life's A Whirl may entertain you at a big each way price. Fun bets only though.

******

Finally, my dear old Rapid City is entered up at Sandown on Thursday night, on what must be the best evening racing card of the season (ever?!). The Group 3 Brigadier Gerard Stakes always used to be the highlight of the card, but has now been usurped by the Group 2 Henry II Stakes, a staying event that has attracted a belting field.

As if that wasn't enough, there's also TWO Listed races, including the National Stakes for 2yo's that is often a pointer to Royal Ascot winners. Look out for Hannon and Channon who have targeted this race for many years.

I remember watching open-mouthed as Bint Allayl sluiced up here as far back as 1998. Lucky Leigh represents Mick Channon this time, and Richard Hannon has Icesolator. I won't be going any further down the card than those two for the winner.

I'll be there, and if you live in the vicinity and enjoy your racing, then you should be too!

Until next time,
Matt

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