Some You Win... But Not With Betfair Loophole!
And some, dear reader, you just do not. The Chester Cup is mare of a race for me, and this year was no exception. Four 'universal truths' of the past decade, three remain intact. But, importantly, one of them (poor previous performance at the track) now breached.
Now, of course with hindsight, I can see that qualitatively, Bulwark's sole previous course start was a close sixth from draw 15 in the same race in 2006. It's all so easy now...!
And in the sprint, where I sided with the two Kings, Orchisios and Of Swords, the Sword was a non-runner, but alas for Orchisios he broke a leg and has passed to another equine plane.
Better luck was to be had at Beverley, where the sprint advice proved to be gravy.
The three 5f contests were all won by the highest drawn horse, and this is by no means a rarity. At odds of 5/2, 7/1 and 4/1, that's pretty good.
Better yet, we got the forecast up in the handicap sprint for older horses, Namir beating Glasshoughton (Pawan was an unlucky fourth).
Keep more than an eye out for the high boxes in the sprints at Beverley, when the ground is riding good or faster.
Pretty uninspiring fare tomorrow, but at Nottingham we have another chance to play the draw. High numbers have a definite edge, so lets see what we can do with that.
In the opening maiden over six furlongs, there is a short priced (around evens) favourite coming from box 8 of 14. But she's up against the colts here, and I'll look elsewhere for value. Kenton Street has the plum draw in 14, and ran a creditable fourth in his only start last season.
With the aggressive Alan Munro in the saddle, he could try to make all. Look out also for the lady, Little Cee. She ran a stinker when fancied on debut, and David Elsworth is a wily trainer. If she's not being targeted for handicaps in due course, she could run well against the chaps.
Art Princess looks to have an excellent chance of going one better than her runner up spot in the fillies juvenile maiden (2.00). Oppose Readily, who will have to be pretty good to overcome her draw, if I'm reading things correctly.
In the closing apprentice handicap (4.45), best jockey and best draw combine for Bold Argument who, while not a controversial or inspired selection, must go close in a race with a lot of dross in it.
Small stakes only: keep the powder dry for another day is my call.
******
Finally, I've had a couple of emails about a product that you are very likely to have heard of recently: Betfair Loophole.
Here's my take. If there was ever a loophole on Betfair, it would be spotted in about five minutes flat and closed.
Moreover, if you had a loophole on Betfair, would you chance it being closed by broadcasting it and trying to tell people for just £55?!
I know that I wouldn't. As much as I love you fine people, I'd be keeping firmly shtum on that one.
So, I've not seen the product and I can't say for sure that its guff. But the premise is most certainly preposterous!
[Incidentally, if you've purchased the aforementioned product, do please leave a comment with your experiences to date... just click the 'comments' link beneath this post.]
That's all folks!
Matt
Now, of course with hindsight, I can see that qualitatively, Bulwark's sole previous course start was a close sixth from draw 15 in the same race in 2006. It's all so easy now...!
And in the sprint, where I sided with the two Kings, Orchisios and Of Swords, the Sword was a non-runner, but alas for Orchisios he broke a leg and has passed to another equine plane.
Better luck was to be had at Beverley, where the sprint advice proved to be gravy.
The three 5f contests were all won by the highest drawn horse, and this is by no means a rarity. At odds of 5/2, 7/1 and 4/1, that's pretty good.
Better yet, we got the forecast up in the handicap sprint for older horses, Namir beating Glasshoughton (Pawan was an unlucky fourth).
Keep more than an eye out for the high boxes in the sprints at Beverley, when the ground is riding good or faster.
******
Pretty uninspiring fare tomorrow, but at Nottingham we have another chance to play the draw. High numbers have a definite edge, so lets see what we can do with that.
In the opening maiden over six furlongs, there is a short priced (around evens) favourite coming from box 8 of 14. But she's up against the colts here, and I'll look elsewhere for value. Kenton Street has the plum draw in 14, and ran a creditable fourth in his only start last season.
With the aggressive Alan Munro in the saddle, he could try to make all. Look out also for the lady, Little Cee. She ran a stinker when fancied on debut, and David Elsworth is a wily trainer. If she's not being targeted for handicaps in due course, she could run well against the chaps.
Art Princess looks to have an excellent chance of going one better than her runner up spot in the fillies juvenile maiden (2.00). Oppose Readily, who will have to be pretty good to overcome her draw, if I'm reading things correctly.
In the closing apprentice handicap (4.45), best jockey and best draw combine for Bold Argument who, while not a controversial or inspired selection, must go close in a race with a lot of dross in it.
Small stakes only: keep the powder dry for another day is my call.
******
Finally, I've had a couple of emails about a product that you are very likely to have heard of recently: Betfair Loophole.
Here's my take. If there was ever a loophole on Betfair, it would be spotted in about five minutes flat and closed.
Moreover, if you had a loophole on Betfair, would you chance it being closed by broadcasting it and trying to tell people for just £55?!
I know that I wouldn't. As much as I love you fine people, I'd be keeping firmly shtum on that one.
So, I've not seen the product and I can't say for sure that its guff. But the premise is most certainly preposterous!
[Incidentally, if you've purchased the aforementioned product, do please leave a comment with your experiences to date... just click the 'comments' link beneath this post.]
That's all folks!
Matt
Labels: Systems
posted by Matt at
19:58
10 Comments:
hello
I have bought the betfair loophole and 24 later i ask for my money back . I don't have much experience about lay and back on betfair but ...how i going to make money if the lay is always high than the back??? and i mean always...disappointment and frustration..if you know what i mean
regards
Tested this laying system ... about 40 races and 33% are winners which reflects that the price is good measure of the strike rate. 4 winners in a row proves that there is no loophole and this is another affiliate marketing hype of the worst
I have ever seen. Note the names of any affiliate marketeers who promote this and draw your own conclusions.
Matt,
agree with the comments above. Certainly no 'loophole'; just a laying system (and a bit about trading off) based on stats. Same old fluff, but using the dogs for a change.
Save your cash I say!
Mmm you say that you havn't read it yet nobody will make money from it. How do you know then?
Make up your own mind I say.
Results are subjective in any system.
Exercise your right to a refund if it's full of hot air, just don't assume that because of a slick marketing campaign that it's not worth checking out.
Sincerely, Betfair Loophole :)
Subjective?? Either there is a long term laying strike rate that diverges from the price which provides a loophole or as early results show the prices on Betfair simply reflect the probability to a .00 degree.
Is just a worthless system. Lay greyhound fav 1 min or less before off. Only in A4-A11 grade races.
It loses badly.
I wouldn't spend a penny on this. I was naive enough to buy easy trader pro from this guy, requested refund, never got any reply, instead I got loads of spam advertising many "betfair wonder systems". STAY AWAY.
Unfortunately I also bought this trash! The laying of favourites in dog races is new to me and seems to work well - I am paper trading at the moment. However, backing and laying with literally seconds before the off doesn't work. I am asking for my money back!!!!
Experienced in both laying and trading I knew this was total tishllub. Ever noticed that they always say get in as the price is going up in x hours time??. There are,and never will be "loopholes" Betfair would spot a "loophole" in less time than it takes to blink and close it off. Keep you cash in you pocket as the "eight week" money back is a rip off. You need to prove over those weeks you followed the system religiously. Any system will make a profit over those weeks,the skill is in keeping it.
l have bought quite a few systems in the past and nearly all turned out to be rubbish.like some of you l also asked for my money back but with no results.l then went directly to clickbank found the link that says.( l wish to return a product )then gave the reason,a couple of days later l recieved the refund in full.Only drawback is l have returned so much rubbish that l have now been stopped from any future purchases. That's why l am not able to buy TFS from Matt
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