Despatches: Fin Du Siecle...
It feels, dear reader, very much like the last day of school today. You see, the 30th April is the end of the TrainerTrackStats (TTS) season.
TTS runs, as many of you know, from beginning of September to end of April. And, as many of you also know, it's been nicely lining your pockets (and mine!) during this time.
The full results sheet is now up on the site here. This was the second season that I have published my research, and I'm somewhat proud of the fact that its also the second season that TTS followers have made a healthy return. For those of you with an appetite for such things, the 2006/7 seasonal results are here.
The tale of the tape is that in 2006/7, TTS made just over 60 points profit to betfair odds (£1,207 to £20 stakes).
In the season just finished, we made a fantastic 96.8 points profit to betfair odds (or £1,936 to £20 stakes).
If you think these results are anything less than impressive, then you are either VERY new to horse racing and believe there is an alchemy solution somewhere, or you are awaiting a lift in the blue lighted ice cream van to the nut house... ;o)
I charged the princely fee of £57 in the first season and, based on the success, perversely only £37 in the second season. Why? Because I want the little guy to get closer to being in front.
The results of yesterday's survey - so far, 408 have replied (thanks a million: I've been amazed at the response rate!) - are that 66% of respondents are losing or breaking even in their betting overall.
And also, interestingly, 66% of you use betfair or another betting exchange to bet most often. (For the other third of you, do you know you're losing money by not using betfair?! Click the link on the left of the page, get £25 for depositing a tenner, and get 20% better odds the next time you place a bet!!)
My point is that two thirds of you are taking advantage of betfair AND STILL DOING NO BETTER THAN BREAKING EVEN!
Which means that before betfair, I can include the 31% (this includes me!) who said they are winning a bit, and confidently state that 97% of us were doing no better than breaking even.
So, here it is: rule number one. If you want to stand any chance of winning at betting, open a betfair account NOW. Better still, do it through my link on the left hand side, and we'll both get a thank you from betfair (you £25, me £20). Happy days :o)
So, that places into context, what a good result it is to make 60 or 100 points from a rigid statistical approach to betting, using a tool such as TTS.
TrainerFlatStats (now all but off the market, except for subscription only) has had a mercurial season to date, with a flying start quickly countered by a week in the doldrums. The only TFS qualifier today won at 6/1, which was a welcome riposte to what had gone before, and illustrates that it only takes one winner to make a big difference on the monthly points tally. TFS is marginally in front for the fledgling season.
Ok, what else did I learn from the survey?
A whopping 95.5% of you bet a few times a week up to every day. Wow!
Average stake is about five pounds, with a few big players out there. 50p or £50 punter: you're all equally welcome here. Nag3 has no hierarchy (except that I'm the one with the virtual pen!).
[Incidentally, for those of you who work in an office environment, here's my number one tip for meetings. If you want to get your point across, make sure you are the scribe. No matter what is said in the meeting, if you are the minute taker you have a degree of freedom to 'interpret' / 'massage' what others have said so that their words align merrily with your tune... Apologies if that's slightly off topic!]
A really interesting point that came out from the survey results is that less than 10% of you bet most often at a high street bookie. Now we probably all pop in from time to time, but its amazing to think that in the ten years or so that the internet has been truly mainstream, 90% of us now prefer to wager online. Wow again!
And only 5% of you don't have an online betting account of some description. That's a third wow!
A further point that surprised me - pleasantly - about the survey results is that only 6.6% of you didn't think it was possibly to make money consistently from betting.
One sixth of you weren't sure, and an excellent optimistic 77.2% of you believe that it is possible to make consistent money betting. That's bloody marvellous, guys and girls! Because that's what we're about here, and we don't want the nay-sayers and profits of doom discolouring our bright skies.
If you're one of the 'don't know' camp, then I hope that you will be in the 'yes' camp after a time with Nag3. :o)
You can see all of the survey responses (less people's email addresses of course!) here.
Incidentally, one of the things you can't see in the attached is the comments about the one thing that would make you a better bettor. An overwhelming majority of you said that DISCIPLINE was the key that you were missing.
I tend to agree with you (having layed Bankable this afternoon, even though I thought it would probably win), and I'll be doing some stuff on how to train yourself to be better disciplined in the coming weeks.
The five lucky winners of TFS guides this time are:
brenmarbay
ptchsmith
geoffstraw
m45adams
clifjenkinson
Well done to you guys, and - again - thanks a lot to everyone who shared their views. It's proved truly instructive once again.
TTS runs, as many of you know, from beginning of September to end of April. And, as many of you also know, it's been nicely lining your pockets (and mine!) during this time.
The full results sheet is now up on the site here. This was the second season that I have published my research, and I'm somewhat proud of the fact that its also the second season that TTS followers have made a healthy return. For those of you with an appetite for such things, the 2006/7 seasonal results are here.
The tale of the tape is that in 2006/7, TTS made just over 60 points profit to betfair odds (£1,207 to £20 stakes).
In the season just finished, we made a fantastic 96.8 points profit to betfair odds (or £1,936 to £20 stakes).
If you think these results are anything less than impressive, then you are either VERY new to horse racing and believe there is an alchemy solution somewhere, or you are awaiting a lift in the blue lighted ice cream van to the nut house... ;o)
I charged the princely fee of £57 in the first season and, based on the success, perversely only £37 in the second season. Why? Because I want the little guy to get closer to being in front.
The results of yesterday's survey - so far, 408 have replied (thanks a million: I've been amazed at the response rate!) - are that 66% of respondents are losing or breaking even in their betting overall.
And also, interestingly, 66% of you use betfair or another betting exchange to bet most often. (For the other third of you, do you know you're losing money by not using betfair?! Click the link on the left of the page, get £25 for depositing a tenner, and get 20% better odds the next time you place a bet!!)
My point is that two thirds of you are taking advantage of betfair AND STILL DOING NO BETTER THAN BREAKING EVEN!
Which means that before betfair, I can include the 31% (this includes me!) who said they are winning a bit, and confidently state that 97% of us were doing no better than breaking even.
So, here it is: rule number one. If you want to stand any chance of winning at betting, open a betfair account NOW. Better still, do it through my link on the left hand side, and we'll both get a thank you from betfair (you £25, me £20). Happy days :o)
So, that places into context, what a good result it is to make 60 or 100 points from a rigid statistical approach to betting, using a tool such as TTS.
TrainerFlatStats (now all but off the market, except for subscription only) has had a mercurial season to date, with a flying start quickly countered by a week in the doldrums. The only TFS qualifier today won at 6/1, which was a welcome riposte to what had gone before, and illustrates that it only takes one winner to make a big difference on the monthly points tally. TFS is marginally in front for the fledgling season.
******
Ok, what else did I learn from the survey?
A whopping 95.5% of you bet a few times a week up to every day. Wow!
Average stake is about five pounds, with a few big players out there. 50p or £50 punter: you're all equally welcome here. Nag3 has no hierarchy (except that I'm the one with the virtual pen!).
[Incidentally, for those of you who work in an office environment, here's my number one tip for meetings. If you want to get your point across, make sure you are the scribe. No matter what is said in the meeting, if you are the minute taker you have a degree of freedom to 'interpret' / 'massage' what others have said so that their words align merrily with your tune... Apologies if that's slightly off topic!]
A really interesting point that came out from the survey results is that less than 10% of you bet most often at a high street bookie. Now we probably all pop in from time to time, but its amazing to think that in the ten years or so that the internet has been truly mainstream, 90% of us now prefer to wager online. Wow again!
And only 5% of you don't have an online betting account of some description. That's a third wow!
A further point that surprised me - pleasantly - about the survey results is that only 6.6% of you didn't think it was possibly to make money consistently from betting.
One sixth of you weren't sure, and an excellent optimistic 77.2% of you believe that it is possible to make consistent money betting. That's bloody marvellous, guys and girls! Because that's what we're about here, and we don't want the nay-sayers and profits of doom discolouring our bright skies.
If you're one of the 'don't know' camp, then I hope that you will be in the 'yes' camp after a time with Nag3. :o)
You can see all of the survey responses (less people's email addresses of course!) here.
Incidentally, one of the things you can't see in the attached is the comments about the one thing that would make you a better bettor. An overwhelming majority of you said that DISCIPLINE was the key that you were missing.
I tend to agree with you (having layed Bankable this afternoon, even though I thought it would probably win), and I'll be doing some stuff on how to train yourself to be better disciplined in the coming weeks.
The five lucky winners of TFS guides this time are:
brenmarbay
ptchsmith
geoffstraw
m45adams
clifjenkinson
Well done to you guys, and - again - thanks a lot to everyone who shared their views. It's proved truly instructive once again.
******
Moving on, and I did another little video for you last night, on how to trade on football using betfair (another reason to get an account if you haven't already done so!!)
As with the first one, the production quality is pretty shabby. And as with the first one I've still got a bad head cold, so apologies for the nasal narration.
However, I made a couple of quid in real time, and it's a simple enough strategy that anyone can follow. Intermediate or advanced punters will probably know this already, so bear with me while I bring some of the newcomers in the Nag3 class 'up to speed'. :o)
Click the link to watch the vid! [and apologies if you can't see it - seems to be quite small...]
That's all for today - in case you're wondering where I'll be watching the footy tonight, I won't. See the comment on yesterday's blog post to establish where I'll be. I was going to ban this user for blatant spamming, but given that it's my girlfriend, I can't really!!
Ciao ciao.
Matt
As with the first one, the production quality is pretty shabby. And as with the first one I've still got a bad head cold, so apologies for the nasal narration.
However, I made a couple of quid in real time, and it's a simple enough strategy that anyone can follow. Intermediate or advanced punters will probably know this already, so bear with me while I bring some of the newcomers in the Nag3 class 'up to speed'. :o)
Click the link to watch the vid! [and apologies if you can't see it - seems to be quite small...]
That's all for today - in case you're wondering where I'll be watching the footy tonight, I won't. See the comment on yesterday's blog post to establish where I'll be. I was going to ban this user for blatant spamming, but given that it's my girlfriend, I can't really!!
Ciao ciao.
Matt
Labels: Trainer Track Stats, TrainerFlatStats, Video Tutorials
posted by Matt at
17:47
1 Comments:
The link for your second video didnt work when i tried it Matt.
Didnt have any problem with the first though.
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