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Friday, 31 August 2007

Limited Time Offer For TrainerTrackStats 2007/8

As promised, dear reader, here are the details on how you can get your hands on a copy of the Brand New TrainerTrackStats (TTS) guide, for the jumps season starting tomorrow, 1st September.

First, let me quickly remind you of what TTS is.

TTS is the number one e-guide to profitable niche trainer / track combinations. It focuses in only on horses starting at 14/1 or shorter, to ensure that all qualifiers are fancied to run well.

TTS only operates between tomorrow (i.e. start of September) and end of April, which we consider to be the 'true' National Hunt season.

Financially, backing all TTS horses at SP last season would have returned a profit - to just £20 stakes - of £11,150. Now I can't promise that the trainers will perform so well this season, but if they only do a quarter as well, that's still more than £2,750 profit at SP.

If using an exchange such as Betfair, where odds are on average 16% higher, you would have returned over £12,000, after paying commission.

TTS horses won on average 35.51% of the time last season, and were placed in the first three a staggering 62.89% of the time. That means over one in three runners was a winner, and almost two out of every three runners was placed.

TO GET YOUR COPY

To get your copy, simply go to the relevant section below, depending on whether you've bought or subscribed to either TrainerTrackStats or TrainerFlatStats before, and select the option that suits you best. [I know I don't have to say this, but if you've never been a member and you select the Existing Customer option, your access will be revoked amid embarrassment for both of us...]

NEW CUSTOMER

If you have never been a member of either TFS or TTS, please click here.

EXISTING CUSTOMER

If you have already been a member of either TFS or TTS, please click here.


The action starts tomorrow at Newton Abbot with a couple of live chances!

Don't miss out - get your copy now!
Matt

Friday Fun & The Return Of TTS: Very Special Offer

Phew-wee, dear reader. What a week! I've been slaving away putting the finishing touches to TTS (that's TrainerTrackStats for those of you who are new, and those of you who have been hibernated for the last several months..), and I have to say it's the best yet.

There are some really strong trends, and the biggest problem I had (apart from all the bloody formatting in Word!) was deciding who to exclude.

I decided that I didn't want an average of more than three horses to back per day, so I drew the line at a maximum of three trainers per track. Some tracks have less than that, but none have more.

Many of our old friends from last year re-appear (unsurprisingly), and there are new kids on the block as well. Some of these are obvious, like David Pipe, but some are much less so, like Paul Keane and Alison Thorpe.

One thing unites all of the trainers in TrainerTrackStats: they have all been notably successful at a given course with a specific type of horse, or in a specific type of race.

As well as the guide, which now covers all courses bar Cartmel and Worcester (pretty much all summer jumping only at these tracks, and Worcester is currently subaquatic!), I have appended all of the trainers who were under consideration for entry due to their positive trends. This amounts to the small matter of 244 possibles!

I whittled these down to 102 for the guide itself, using a stars system, as follows:

Each trainer received a star for any of the following (with horses starting at 14/1 or shorter, between September and April over the last five seasons):

- 15 or more winners at the track
- Strike Rate of 35% or more (winners to runners)
- A profit of 25 units or more to a 1 unit stake
- A profit of 1.25 units per runner to a 1 unit stake

In most cases, trainers have at least two stars, and in one case, a trainer has all four stars. He is a good betting friend of mine, Alan King, but if you want to know where he is the TOP top man, you'll need to get the guide... ;)

I'll send you an email later today to let you know how you can get a copy, and of course, as regular readers of my blog, you will get the best deal. Well.... almost the best deal.

The best deal of all is reserved for my existing customers. If you've already bought TFS and/or TTS, or a current subscriber to Laying System, you're in for a particularly special offer, as a thank you from me for being a loyal customer.

More to follow.... but for now, let's get to the Friday Fun....

This week, say hello to the funniest cross-dresser on the planet (not sure how much competition there is for that coveted award).... Mr Eddie Izzard.... (warning, expletives from the outset, don't play in the office without headphones!)



Good weekend to you all, and look out for the TTS email later today!

Matt

Thursday, 30 August 2007

Almost Jumping!

Hello again, dear reader, from your occasional posting virtual horse racing friend.

Before I begin, another apology.... Now I would never advise anybody to ask me to navigate for them on a road trip, and my pedantic (though absolutely correct) correspondent Kev has highlighted another error in my scribblings. This time, it relates to the part of France I was in at the weekend.

It seems that I was not in Brittany, but rather in Pas De Calais, some couple of hundred miles east along the coast. Nevertheless, it was marvellous, and the first of the 'vin' has been consumed. :)

Kev likes to pick me up on my errors and, as one pedant to another, I like to be corrected! Thanks mate!

On to horsey stuff, and I just wanted to give you a quick update on TrainerTrackStats' progress. Well, the research is now complete and today, I shall be 'making the cut' (i.e. deciding which trainers get in and which do not).

I will share with you those that miss the cut, to give you an indication of the data in the guide, but also because these guys are worth following in their own right.

Look out for a further post on this, either late tomorrow or Saturday.

I am really excited about the information I've gathered, and am looking forward to sharing it.

Onto today's racing and, although it looks pretty miserable fare, I think I've found a couple of opportunities.

Firstly, let's rock up to Musselburgh (where my mate Jerry is punting today - strange venue for a South London based Chelsea fan, but he has business up that way which I guess is why he's there rather than at Lingfield!).

In the 5f sprints, high numbers have been favoured on fast ground for years. So, I'll cut this fourteen runner affair down to size by only looking at double figure draws (could be careless as the forecast favourite is in box 9...).

The five of interest to me then are, in racecard order, Strensall, Methaaly, Strawberry Patch, Seafield Towers, and Mutayam.

Strensall: All 8 wins have been over 5f, 7 of 8 on good ground or faster. Course and distance winner operating in the right grade, from almost the pick of the draw and with a decent jockey up. Very interesting.

Methaaly: Never won at 5f, though has come close (all 3 wins at 6f). Never won a handicap in this class. I'm not sure about the apprentice jockey either. Swerve.

Strawberry Patch: 3 times a course and distance winner; all four career wins over 5f; has not won in this class since 2004; last two course and distance starts, was outclassed in higher grade, then was unlucky in running and not beaten far at this level. Interesting each way contender at big price.

Seafield Towers: Not won for two years, formerly useful, but seems very much on the downgrade now. Finished almost last or last in eight of last nine starts. Big leap of faith required.

Mutayam: 1 win from 37 starts, and that a 66/1 shocker 3 years ago. Hasn't been in the first four in TWENTY starts since. Won't change that today.

So for me, the 25 on betfair about Strensall looks huge, and the Strawberry Patch at around 16's is also worthy of each way interest.

On the laying side of things, I'll wander down to Lingfield, and take a couple on.

Firstly, Central Force in the 2.50 looks the most consistent, but may very well not have the race run to suit today. In a race with a lot of contenders, he looks short enough at around 5/2.

At 4.20, a nothing looking maiden has Richard Hannon's Ike Quebec currently trading at 3.15. Having his first run on the sand today, he looks a false favourite to me. V Haigh's Honey Monster has the best form, is open to improvement (as is the favourite, and just about every other horse in the race!), and has a decent sand run under his belt.

There are other possibles in the race as well, with Mark Johnston's Cordon Bleu, as well as unexposed horses from the yards of Stan Moore, Jamie Osborne, Neville Callaghan, and Marcus Tregoning, so Hannon's horse is a lay for me.

Hope your punting is treating you well, and that you're almost ready for some jumping action!

Matt

Tuesday, 28 August 2007

The Silence Is Golden, Trust Me

Apologies, dear reader, for the lack of content here over the past few days, and for the fact that it is likely to be the case until the weekend.

The reasons are varied, but mainly revolve around time away from the laptop and time researching TTS (for which I am currently a bit behind schedule).

Special apologies to subscribers to my email services, who will have noticed that they did not receive their usual daily mails yesterday. Although there were no qualifiers for either service, I was unable to share this information, due to the fact that apparently the French do not need internet cafe's. I couldn't find one open in the whole of Brittany (well, Boulogne or Calais anyway!).

Which leads me on to where I've been for the last couple of days....

Now I fancy myself as a bit of a cunning linguist (hoo hoo hoo) when it comes to English, but it's only when you put yourself in a different country that you truly appreciate the joys of rudimentary communication. A weekend pootling around the Breton, trying to make myself understood in my pidjun parlance was really great.

To anyone who lives in the South of England, I seriously recommend doing what I and my lady friend did: drive to Folkestone, hop on the Eurotunnel, and emerge in Calais barely half an hour later.

We parked the car in the FREE car park next to the train station and, without a plan, just jumped on a train in a direction. Alas, due to our timescale (we only had two days), we were limited in where we could get to (direct trains from Calais only go as far as Amiens to the West or Lille to the East).

Nevertheless, we decided on Boulogne-sur-mer, which was about 40 minutes away. A short amble with our little backpacks and we found a hotel for the night. Then for some serious strolling. Lovely beaches there, and we had a couple of bieres along the front.

Then a long leisurely dinner (steak au poivre) with a decent Crozes Hermitage, and a spot of cognac before retiring.

Yesterday, we stopped between Boulogne and Calais in a little place called Wimille Wimereux (or Wimmy Wimmy as we pronounced it). It's ostensibly a nothing little village stop, but it's right on the Breton coast, so we walked down to the beach, and strolled and sat and ate ice cream and strolled and sat and drank a beer and strolled, then had lunch.

A weird thing about Brittany is that one of the food specialities is 'Welsh'. That is, welsh rarebit (or cheese on toast if you prefer).

Well, I swear that I have never seen so much cheese on a single meal in my life.
A two inch deep, six inch across, terrine dish had a piece of bread (think Sunblest, not baguette), and a slice of ham in it. The remainder was then filled to within about a quarter of an inch of the brim with what looked and tasted like (and therefore probably was!) Red Leicester.

It truly was a dinner to make Elvis Presley baulk at the thought of the effect it might have on his heart!

Having fished through the fromage for the toast and ham, I emerged slightly punch drunk from cheese consumption into the afternoon breeze once more.

I managed to get the train times wrong (incidentally, very clean and punctual train, just not very frequent), so we strolled the other side of the station into fields and countryside. Lots of fields full of maize, and a few kids chucking water at each other, and a couple of cows, were the only things we encountered. Marvellous.

Then back to Calais to pick up the car, and do some serious booze cruise shopping. I'm a big fan of French white wines and Italian reds. In the absence of anything decent in the latter camp, I treated myself to some splendid looking Premier Cru's from Alsace (Pinot Gris) and the Southwest (Sancerre, Montigny, Puilly-Fume), and also a couple of decent looking reds (Chateauneuf du Pape and a 1999 Fleurie).

These will be savoured before the next run, which will be soon.

Taking out my wine indulgence and a hearty dinner, and the whole affair cost me about £120 (£65 for the Eurotunnel, £35 for the room and breakfast, and £20 for the train tickets).

If you get the chance, try it!

Today is a logical Monday in racing terms and therefore I'll not be wagering horses. However, the footy looks interesting tonight, and a treble featuring Liverpool, Celtic and Arsenal may very well reward at best priced 3.18 with Bet365. I'll be having a slice of that.

For the rest of the week, I'm afraid - as I've mentioned - there will be little of interest here, as I slave over the last elements of research and pulling the document together for TrainerTrackStats. The guide will be available before the website is ready, and there will of course be special offers for Nag3 readers.

So if you know of anybody who might be interested, be sure and use the 'Tell A Friend' link at the top left of the page.

Bon Mardi!
Matt

Friday, 24 August 2007

Friday Fun: This Man Needs No Introduction...

Picture quality not great, gag value immense, even after all these years. A real Bank Holiday treat, dear reader....


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Jumping To The Fore!

Crikey, is it Friday already, dear reader? And not just any old Friday, but Friday before a Bank Holiday! Woohoo!

Now lest you are concerned about the forecast (those readers in Australia and NZ need not fret, nor need you gloat!!), let me assure you that the Met Office is predicting broadly sunny weather for the weekend. And of course, the Met Office are known for their infallibility... Ahem... Well, at least it gives us hope! :)

Now then, I know we've only just finished York's Juddmonte meeting and - as I've mentioned - we are not yet even at the August Bank Holiday.

But I need to remind you that darker times are ahead...

Yes, racing fans, the evening racing will draw to a close next week (although there will be plenty of floodlit action from Wolves, Kempton and the new Dundalk - not to mention Great Leighs if it ever opens!), and the jumping action starts to ramp up from the beginning of September.

In my piece yesterday, apart from blowing out on the placepot at York (though Mine ran a great race in 4th at 16/1, and I did tip the 2yo to win the Nunthorpe! Amazing training performance from a brilliant up and coming trainer. Look out for John Best), I managed to bag the forecast at Chester (the third horse mentioned in the exacta was a non-runner).

Incidentally, the third home in that race was the only other horse with experience and was the fourth best drawn horse in the race. Shocking then that his odds were 80/1!!!

My tip in the sprint, Calypso King, was a non-runner.

But what I really want to mention - again - is the amazing power of backing trainers at tracks. Although Jonjo's chaser was disappointing at Stratford, the boys at Fontwell did me proud.

Here is the full tale of the tape for the trainers flagged up yesterday:

5.25 1st 25/1, 2nd 33/1, 4th 8/1, 6th 25/1, 11th 16/1, PU 10/1
5.55 6th 4/1, UR 16/1
6.25 1st 11/2, 3rd 14/1
6.55 No runners
7.25 5th 14/1
7.55 4th 25/1

Brendan Powell and Alan King, described by me yesterday as legends, underlined their status on this card.

Powell slammed in the forecast in the first (paid £621.27!) with 25/1 and 33/1 shots; King snaffled the third with an 11/2 shot (Powell only managing 3rd at 14/1).

The other lesser trainers had some huge priced beasties run close but without any danger of rolled tobacco.

A unit on each of the runners last night would have returned a very tidy profit.

As a further teaser for you, I've put the candidate trainer stats up on a page... but with the trainers names missing! And, in case you think you can compare the table with the Racing Post charts or some such, I've got some bad news for you. I only look at the record from September to April, and I only look at horses priced 14/1 or shorter. I know, I'm a sneaky blighter.

Anyway, if you'd like to see what's going on, have a look at my TrainerTrackStats preview page.

Bear in mind that, unless stated otherwise, the 'fine tuning' has yet to be done. That is, the records are for all of a trainer's runners in the defined time and price parameters. But you'll get the idea, for sure.

Like I said, I'm excited about this season, because there are so many strong trends. The problem is going to be whittling them down. I think what I'll do this season is nominate the top two or three a la TrainerFlatStats, and mention the others as worthy of a second glance (though for subscribers they'll not feature in the emails). That said, this is not yet caste in stone.

I don't really fancy much today, but draw bias at Thirsk (high numbers in sprints on good to firm) leads me to take a close look at Call For Liberty in the 1.30 (best form, best draw). His chief rivals, in the betting at least, are drawn 2 and 3 (i.e. almost the worst draws possible).

In the 4.45, a 5f sprint, its interesting that the top four in the market are all badly drawn. Racing Post informs us that 7/10 5f sprints this season have gone to the top three stalls. Perm them in exactas and CSF's (half stake on each). That's Yorke's Folly, Smiddy Hill, and Miacarla. It may also be worth chucking in Princess Cleo (drawn 10) for a great chance to collect.

That's it from me. Back later with Friday fun, though please note there may be little of interest on the blog this weekend, as I will be researching Trainer Track Stats and may try to get away for a day or two as well.

Finally, just a quick line to say thank you to those people who were kind enough to comment on my little story the other day. I know it didn't really belong here, but I just wanted to give a virtual voice to some of my thoughts. Thanks again.

Until later, pip pip!
Matt

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Thursday, 23 August 2007

What A Cracking Day For A Punt!

Its one of those days today, dear reader, when everywhere I look, I think I fancy one. Strange, as the racing is fiendishly hard today.

I'll start at York with a placepot:

1. Dark Angel / Drawnfromthepast (e/w bet) / Dedo / New Jersey
2. Fleeting Spirit
3. Smart Enough / Flipando / Docofthebay / We'll Come
4. Magnus / Moorhouse Lad / Hoh Mike / Kingsgate Native (maiden 2yo in all age Group 1!!!)
5. Mine (great chance) / Dabbers Ridge / Somnus
6. Winter Sunrise

192 x 20p = £38.40

Elsewhere, and up to Chester for the evening meeting. Some biggish fields mean there may be some draw bias to play with (low numbers very strongly favoured, as you probably know).

In the 6.40, a 2yo maiden, the three most experienced horses (Far Gone, Harry Gee and Madame Rio) are drawn 1, 2 and 3. Given that experience in a 2yo maiden is usually worth a couple of lengths at the gate, I will perm these three in a combination exacta to get away and stay away.

Half an hour later, in the 5f sprint, I like Calypso King. He has only been drawn well once out of three starts here at Chester, and won that race. From the four box today, he has a great draw for his style of racing. I'm hoping he can sit in behind the pace, and if/when the split comes, scoot through in the final two furlongs. 10/1 or bigger will be very alluring...

And then we go to the jumps cards. I'm now pretty well advanced with my research for TrainerTrackStats, the jumping equivalent of TrainerFlatStats, and I don't mind admitting that I'm VERY excited about what I'm seeing.

I've currently got just over 275 possible trainer / track combinations to whittle down, and there are some tasty fish in that catch!

At Fontwell, legends Alan King and Brendan Powell are always worthy of respect. But look out also for Charlie Mann, J W Mullins, Mrs A M Thorpe, and Peter Bowen.

Meanwhile, over at Stratford, Jonjo's In Extra Time looks tempting in the handicap chase.

A punting frenzy then for yours truly. Normally, when I feel like this about the racing, I'm happy to break even at the end of the day.... Your card is marked accordingly! ;)

Matt

Wednesday, 22 August 2007

An Extraordinary Tale of an Everyday Hero...

If you’ll forgive my self-indulgence, dear reader, I’d like to tell you a little story…

Once upon a time, in a not so very far away land, there lived a boy. The boy lived with his mother and his father and his baby sister in a small and humble dwelling. The boy and his family were poor. His father worked on the land, and - before he was school age - the boy learnt to work the land too.

The boy had no toys, but he wasn't sad. He loved his simple pleasures: sunshine, his friends, and the occasional fig which fell from a neighbour's tree.

The family struggled from day to day to make enough to put bread on the table. They would buy a 40lb sack of grain, and the boy would carry it the two miles down to the miller, who ground the grain. In the hot sun, the boy then carried the flour two miles back up the hill. The sack no lighter, and the journey now uphill, but at least it was closer to being bread.

This particular time though, there was no salt to make the bread. The bread always had to last for forty days, so forty days with saltless bread beckoned for the boy and his family. But the boy was both resourceful and tenacious. And he snuck into a nearby barn, where he knew the wild chickens roosted, and he corraled some eggs.

With the eggs, he went to the village grocer, who knew him well, and asked him if he would trade eggs for salt. The grocer smiled a knowing smile, and duly swapped.

Two days later, the bread made, the first warm bites savoured down to their last crumbs, and the remainder stowed for the following six weeks, the boy was playing near the grocer in the square. The grocer called him over. "Where did you get those eggs?!", he barked. "Why?", replied the boy sheepishly. "One of them had a chick in it!", the grocer boomed, his face then cracking into a smile. "Oh, sorry, I'll get you another", said the boy through his embarrassment.

Another time, the boy bought a ticket in a local Christmas raffle for the smallest unit of currency available and, as luck would have it, on this occasion he was fortunate. His prize was a small doll, about two inches high. Of course, he gave it to his sister, as he gave most everything he earned or won to his family. Except for the occasional priceless fig, which he snaffled and savoured.

A couple of years later, when he was about twelve, he was talking with a friend about how his family needed a calf to rear, so that they could mate from their bullock. Overhearing the conversation, the boy's friend's father looked over and, seeing the earnestness of his son's friend, offered one of his own calves. The boy was overwhelmed. "But how can I pay you?", he asked. "Don't worry", said the man, "I know you, you’ll pay me when you can."

The boy led the calf home to his father and the rest of his family, by now with the addition of another boy, his baby brother. They were incredulous with disbelief. Over the next couple of years, the family reared the calf to near adulthood. She was almost ready to breed from.

But at that time the family owed some money, and the creditor would wait no longer for repayment. The boy went and asked his godfather for help to pay the debt, but his godfather turned his back, even though he was comfortably well off. The creditor came and took the cow, and slaughtered it for meat, despite the pleas of the boy and his family.

A few months later, the boy had gathered the money to pay his friend's father back for the calf that he had so generously offered those years before. When he arrived at the house, his friend's father thanked him for the money and asked how the cow was doing, and if they'd bred from her yet.

Fighting back his tears, the boy explained that the cow had been lost as payment of a debt, and that they had no way of breeding from their - by now – fully grown bull.

The friend's father was taken aback and looked first at the boy, then at his own small herd. He had half a dozen, maybe seven, cows and offered the boy his pick. The boy was once more stunned by the generosity of his friend’s father, but explained that he couldn't pay for the cow as he had spent all his money on the previous one. The friend's father was a truly kind man, and not selfish. He said he knew the boy would pay for the first one – as he just had, and he knew he'd pay for this one too. When he could.

Beside himself with gratitude, the boy said he wouldn't know which cow to choose. The man suggested a gaunt looking one, who he said took little feeding, but offered plentiful milk. The man also offered to buy the milk from the cow, if the family wanted, but that this was their choice.

*********

When he was barely old enough, and with no education, that same brave and tenacious boy, now a young man, travelled to a land many times farther away then than it is now, to seek a new life and to support his family from afar.

With not even so much of the local dialect as 'hello', he learned a few formalities and took a job working on tables and washing pots. Soon after, his energy and people skills were spotted and rewarded. He was offered, and accepted, a job in a very upmarket establishment, where he worked with and learned from the best in his trade. He earned good money and he sent almost all of it home.

Within six months, he had 300 in the bank, and withdrew all but 1 to take home. When he travelled back, he visited his friend, and repaid his father.

While the young man had been away, the cow had been introduced to the bull, and they got along very well. So well, in fact, that there were two calves on the land as well as the adult animals.

The young man also learnt that his godfather had unfortunately drowned while swimming in the bay. Some said that he had been drowned. The young man didn’t forget how he had turned his back before and lost no sleep now.

The young man enjoyed his visits home, and was warmly welcomed by his family: his doting mother, his proud father, his younger sister who worshipped him, and his younger brother (whom the young man considered his first son in many ways).

But his life was elsewhere. His life was now in England, where in the future he was to have a family, and own businesses and property. He would do all of this with no education and with no money to start. Without even the rudiments of the language to help him be understood.

He would always be caring and generous, and he would always be selfless. He never charged people who couldn’t afford it the full price for anything. He would feed hungry people when others turned their back. Because he'd known how that felt.

For this reason, he would not be a great businessman, but he would be a great man.

This is just a tiny snapshot of the true story that makes this man, now in his late sixties, a hero to me.

An everyday hero: he’s my dad. :)

Matt

Tuesday, 21 August 2007

Rapidly Becoming Technophobic...

Hello from Weymouth, dear reader, as I continue my ongoing battle with technology, notably the heap of steaming excrement known also as Windows Vista.

That poxy operating system has stuffed up my laptop to such a degree now that I can only use my own wifi connection (itself enjoying a break from me caning it with requests for data transfer) with it. Even though I am the administrator for my pc, it will not allow me to change any settings. I despair! This post is written from a nice little internet cafe in Weymouth: Portland really is a place to get away from it all, including dial up and mobile phone signals. I can't get either up there!!!

Enough already. After a typically quiet Monday, racing explodes into life today with the start of the York Ebor meeting.

The undoubted highlight of the day, and one of the races of the season, is the Juddmonte International Stakes.

This race pitches the Derby winner (Authorized) against the Eclipse winner (Notnowcato) against the King George winner (Dylan Thomas). Chuck in the sand monster Asiatic Boy and the perennial Group 1 scrapper, Duke of Marmalade, and its a race short in numbers but titanium strong in class.

Authorized looked the most impressive Derby winner for a few years, but we mustn't forget that Derby winners' subsequent record (especially against older horses) is pretty atrocious. The last few have failed to win another race post-Epsom.

I don't think Authorized will struggle to get his nose in front again, but he may do today.

The race here is over a mile and a quarter, and he was beaten by Notnowcato in the Eclipse over this trip. Indeed, 'cato was ridden tactically superbly that day by Ryan Moore but, in case you think it might have been a fluke, remember that he also won the Eclipse the previous year.

Sir Michael Stoute can learn little from any other living soul when it comes to training older horses, and 'cato may come out on top again.

Dylan Thomas is another horse who has improved into his post-Classic year, and was unequivocal in despatching a sub-standard King George field last time out.

This is a sterner examination, and I also believe he is better over slightly further.

The Duke (Of Marmalade) has been competing with credit in top races this season, and will likely enjoy the ten furlong trip today, but I don't feel he has quite the penchant for this distance that 'cato does.

Asiatic Boy is a class horse. On sand. He ran as well as could be expected in the Sussex Stakes, but a point to note about top sand horses (indeed all sand horses) is that they appreciate an end to end gallop. Despite the presence of a pacemaker in here, I expect this to develop into a three furlong sprint, and the Boy to beat only the 'bunny' home. He will return on dirt and win at a nice price before the season is out - indeed, I'd love to back him in the Breeders Cup Classic where he'd beat any of today's rivals.

So I'm quite strong on Notnowcato today, and will happily lay Asiatic Boy for a place until the cows come home (and they're a loooooooooong way from home, like me, right now!).

It's a very tough looking card indeed, but one I fancy at a decent price in the Acomb Stakes is Clive Brittain's Mut'Ab. He's quick, and has been running with a lot of credit in two decent maidens (just behind Campanologist last time). At around 20/1, he's worth a small interest.

Good luck with your Eboracum wagers.
Matt

Monday, 20 August 2007

Racing Members Club Review: Jury Still Out...

Well, dear reader, the first full week's results are in for Racing Members Club and, after a fantastic week, the weekend has been nothing shy of awful.

Three winners at decent prices from five selections over Saturday and Sunday have taken all of the lustre off an impressive previous five days.

The full results are as follows:

Redc Robbie Scott LOST
£19
Wolv Musical Charm LOST
£19
Stra Salesin LOST
£19
Stra Lusaka De Pembo WON 3.8 -£76
Thir Next Flight LOST
£19
Newt Knightsbridge Hill LOST
£19
Newt Once A Brownie LOST
£19
Muss Radiator Rooney LOST
£19
Salis 6 Shavoulin LOST
£19
Salis 5 Olympian Odyssey LOST
£19
Salis 2 Aphorism LOST
£19
Tram 9 The Spoonplayer LOST
£19
Folk 9 Red Raptor LOST
£19
Tram 2 Lyical Assassin LOST
£19
Tram 5 Bennys Quest LOST
£19
Bang 6 Englishtown LOST
£19
Newb 5 Pippa Greene WON 5 -£100
Tram 7 Santas Son WON 4.3 -£86
Bath 5 Dixieland Boy LOST
£19
Tram 5 Lucys Mate WON 8.4 -£168









-£126

16 losers and just four winners (80% strike rate), but the winners came at decent prices, and knocked the stuffing out of good run of losers.

Of course, a week is too short a window to fully and fairly appraise a laying service, which can always take hits in the short term. However, the downside risk of laying 7, 8 or 9/1 shots is often not something that people find palatable. Many of the selections nominated by Racing Members Club are sent off nearer a double digit price than an odds on price.

Another thing with a service such as this (and indeed my own Laying System) is that by just receiving the selections, you cannot vouch for the logic that went into those picks.

[With Laying System, I can tell you that there are a number of factors I look at and, although I only offer a tipster type service, the horses put up by me are based on system criteria, rather than personal sentiment. Although this is sometimes frustrating - when I think one will win, like the other day - I have faith in the overall ability of the method to find overbet losers].

Ultimately, I have to say the jury is still out on Racing Members Club. I cannot say anything about how they find their lays, and I will continue to monitor with interest how the runners progress. I will not, however, be posting them to the blog any longer.

I'm off down to Dorset this afternoon, where I'll be spending a couple of days at my father's hotel (check the link here...), enjoying a touch of R&R.

Happy Monday.
Matt

Monday Musing: Referee!

Monday, dear reader, already. And what a wet one it is too, at least in this leafy alcove in Hackney.

After a couple of close ones on Saturday (Obe Gold especially), Laying System got its only horse of the day beaten (out of the frame at 7/4) for a good Sunday, following on from four out four turned over on Saturday. In fairness, this was much needed after a couple of decent priced winners in the week set us back a bit.

I chose not to play the footy yesterday, and rightly so. I fancied Manchester United, but they are a big toothless basking shark at the moment, and need to find their stride quickly, before its over for them.

As for Liverpool and Chelsea, the only word I can use for the refereeing performace of Rob Styles is 'inept'.

In a game with a fair amount of huff and puff, but very little 'blow your house in', Styles barely had a decision to make. There wasn't a bad tackle in the game (though there were a few petulant little kicks), and - happily - there wasn't a dive in the game.

And yet, this became a card fest, with a fiesta of yellow and a touch of red that would have graced a Madrid derby, arbitrated by one of the Spanish League's more finnicky middlemen.

After the farce at Fulham on Saturday, I am rapidly revising my opinion of video replays for goalmouth incidents.

The fact is that there is rarely much incident in a game that would require the '3rd umpire' as rugby calls it. In a compelling end to end match, the video might be called for three times. Usually, it would not be required at all.

The main reason for my change of heart is not that I am especially in favour of technology encroaching in the beautiful game (rather, in this case, I am a traditionalist and believe that there should be some mistakes and grey areas to discuss in the pub).

However, there are mistakes and mistakes. The current litany of officiating howlers is unacceptable, and it is only the ineptitude of the men in black that sways me to suggest assistance for them.

Sure, the game is getting faster, and also there is more and more cash at stake, from the fans, from the clubs, and - of course, from us punters.

If I'd backed Liverpool yesterday, I'd be spitting feathers for longer than Rafa ranted.

My biggest worry now is that referees are trying to take their moment in the limelight. The days of a ref having a great game by being virtually anonymous are pretty much over. Step forward then, the cult of the referee 'personality'.

It started with undoubtedly the best adjudicator of them all, Pierluigi Collina, a man whose bald head and Marty Feldman'esque stary eyes marked him out more for Hollywood bad guy roles than maintainer of the peace.

This guy's credibility bestowed upon him cult status, as did his looks. Since then though, its been a slippery slope, with first the Spanish refs getting column inches for the issuance of 'tarjetas' (or cards as we like to call them), and then Graham Poll (a ref I actually like on balance) having that mare at the World Cup, when he gave one player THREE yellow cards before finally sending him off.

Lest we think its all doom and gloom, we should remember that Poll was only given that game (Australia vs Croatia) - acknowledged as the toughest group game to officiate, by a mile - because he was considered capable.

Indeed, a more satisfactory performance would have put Graham in Poll Position (duh!) for ref'ing the final.

But there are two many mistakes at the moment. Maybe its new season rustiness, maybe its the growing cult of the referee, maybe its just a comedy coincidence. Whatever the reason, it needs to change, and it needs to change very soon.

Until then, high on the cards market may be the play (although historically this has lost more than its gained).

Over in Fantasy Football Land, a better display from my boys saw me amass 56 points this weekend (would have been 60 but for Styles' ineptitude costing me a clean sheet!).

However, for all of my good score here, I'm currently lounging outside of the UEFA Cup spots in 9th. Runaway early leader is Paddy Meagher's Kicking Kings, whose team has amassed him 149 points and ranks him in the 5,000s out of 1,196,265 teams overall. A very fine start, Mr Meagher, but are you Wigan in disguise? ;)

Heading the chasers at the moment is 'thin air', Paddy being 18 points clear of the next best unit, Irvin Lim's SmokinTree&Strokin3s (which I presume is a reference to golf, somehow?). Its then a further ten back to Darren Smith, with seven more teams within a further ten points.

A special mention for Danny Edwards' team, who are currently the strongest in the league (i.e. they prop up everyone else!). Poor Danny has gone for Manchester United players, and has also been unlucky with a few injuries. I'm sure your boys will come good soon.

Back later with a review of Racing Members Club, and the full tale of the tape on that laying service.

Matt

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Sunday, 19 August 2007

Today's Racing Members Club Lays

Happy Sunday, dear reader, and a quick catch up on yesterday.

First of all, thanks to Kev for pointing out that one of my two for the Hungerford was in fact a filly, which I should have discounted according to my own criteria. Red Evie went on to win, and the horse I liked, Stronghold, ran a good 3rd at 9/1.

In the Great St Wilfred Handicap at Ripon, it seems the world and his wife were tipping Obe Brave, and the horse very nearly obliged. He was beaten a short head at 14/1, having been available at double those odds earlier.

Interesting to note that the first six home were drawn 20,22,9,21,19,23. In other words, five of the first six home were the five highest drawn horses.

The obvious one to take from the race then is Indian Trail, who ran a blinder from what was clearly an impossible draw to be beaten only a short head and half a length.

This one looks likely to win a big sprint handicap this season, when better drawn.

A fine day for the Laying System lays, with four beaten from four, and another winner at 4/1 from four selections for TrainerFlatStats (also a 2nd and a 3rd) sees that service remain in fine form. Links to these services are on the left of the page under the 'LINKS' heading, surprisingly enough!

Today's Racing Members Club lays are:

17.00 Bath 5 Dixieland Boy

17.35 Tram 5 Lucys Mate

They had two winners yesterday, which sets things back a little, but overall are still well in front. I'll present the week's picture later today or tomorrow, with a short review.

Enjoy your Sunday. I'm off for a roast in the pub, along with a couple of Guinnesses and a big TV to watch footy. (Incidentally, Fulham were inept yesterday and let my double down. I did however have a decent poke at Pompey and ended up nicely up on the day).

Matt

Saturday, 18 August 2007

Football And Facebook

After last week's slightly disappointing start to the footy wagering season, I find myself looking to claw back a four point loss.

Today, I'll take a chance on Fulham beating Middlesbrough. I like the industry in Lawrie Sanchez's team, and Craven Cottage is a tough compact little stadium that suits the home side's approach. Boro are perennial underachievers and shocking on the road, so at 2.05 with Expekt.com, they make it into my Saturday double.

The second part of the double is made up by Shrewsbury at home to Bradford. Although these teams were a division apart last season, don't let that fool you. Bradford were terrible and shedded most of their staff roster in the close season.

By contrast, Shrewsbury could have leapfrogged their Yorkshire opponents, but ran into the Bristol Rovers juggernaut at Wembley in the playoff final. Losing in the playoffs can have an adverse impact on some teams, but not so with Shrews, who kicked off with a 4-0 tonking of Lincoln away.

I think I'm right in saying that today is their first home league game in their new stadium, so they'll be keen to impress. 2.2 with Expekt.com is too good to pass up.

The double comes in at just about 7/2 (4.51 to be precise), and expekt.com are best price on the double. I'll have two points to win seven.

Indeed, don't be surprised by this. As I've mentioned previously, they are a go getting European firm and are targeting the UK betting market with best price on a majority of football matches. If you like a wager on the football, you really should have an account with these guys. Click the link to the left of this post to register - they're even chucking in £25 free bet for new signups, so you can get 'double bubble' on your first wager!

The other thing I wanted to mention was Facebook. For those of you who haven't heard of it, its a 'social networking' site. "What's a social networking site?", I hear you ask. Well... to be honest, I'm not really sure what the point of it is, but I put up a profile and a few days later I can now see what a load of my mates are doing, and their mates.

(One of my buddies, Jason, is actually the picture editor for Maxim magazine, so there's some fun shots on his profile!)

If you've got facebook, you can find me by searching for Matt Bisogno. Add me as a friend: I need more online pals!

Check it out here: http://www.facebook.com/

Todays Lay Selections for the Racing Members Club are as follows:

16.35 Bang 6 Englishtown

17.00 Newb 5 Pippa Greene

20.15 Tram 7 Santas Son

Matt

Another Saturday, Another Insoluble Handicap To Have A Crack At!

Ah, Saturday, dear reader, and at last a few moments to surface for air.

Firstly, apologies for the brevity of most of my posts this past week. As you may have gathered, I've been a busy bunny and, to make matters worse, my laptop had a 'moment' yesterday which caused great consternation in this part of Hackney!

All seems to have reverted to normal now, and I am reminded of the need to back up my data, through bitter experience...

The reason for my busyness is that I have been gleefully immersed in a stats and data fest, as a result of my research for TrainerTrackStats. The trends seem to be stronger than ever and I'm excited about some of the new boys appearing for the first time, David Pipe being the key one.

More on this over the next fortnight, but suffice it to say, I'm already looking forward to the jumps season getting started 'for real' in September.

Today's racing looks competitive, and no more so than Ripon's insoluble Great St Wilfred Handicap, a classic cavalry charge over three quarters of a mile.

Although there are 23 runners, the stats point strongly to a high draw bias, with eight of the last ten winners drawn within eight boxes of the top draw. The other two winners were drawn 2 and 4, both on good to firm. It seems that when the ground is genuinely fast both rails are favoured.

Today, with the going described as good, I expect to be able to discount any horse exiting a gate numbered 16 or lower.

This is a race for decent priced winners, with eight of the last ten winners figuring at double digit odds, though no winner was greater than 20/1.

Four year olds have a fine record, and no fewer than six of the last ten winners were from this age group.

On this basis, the unexposed course and distance winner Obe Brave will carry my shekels today. He has some decent form in the book, goes well fresh and has the stats in his favour. Available at 20/1 (22 on betfair, interestingly he is comfortably the second best backed horse in the race as I write with £22,000 matched out of a total of £148,000).

Over at Newbury, the Hungerford Stakes, a Group 2 over a furlong shy of a mile, looks a belter of a race.

Again, there are some pretty strong trends, as follows:

4 or 5yo winner: 8/10
13/2 or shorter: 9/10
9 stone or less: 8/10
Colts/ geldings: 9/10
Gosden: 3/10

I reluctantly discount the fillies in the race (Wake Up Maggie and Silver Touch), because the boys tend to hold sway at the highest level in Group races. (Over the last five seasons in all sex Group races, fillies shorter than 15/2 have won 12.5% of the time compared with colts at 15/2 or shorter winning 22%).

Focusing on 4 or 5 year old colts whose odds are around 7/1 or shorter, gives us Red Evie and Stronghold. Although the former is unbeaten at this track, this is clearly a race John Gosden loves to win (three winners and a third from just five runners in the past decade), and his Stronghold will do for me.

Finally, the increasingly impressive Racing Members Club continues its rich vein of form with both of its lays yesterday well and truly stuffed. That's now 14 from 15 beaten, which is excellent.

I'll post the selections today and tomorrow, before posting a review of the service.

Sign up here: http://tinyurl.com/2ul5j9

Cheers
Matt

Friday, 17 August 2007

Friday Fun: Its Magic!

I think these guys are called Barry and Stuart. They're two very funny and clever Scottish guys...

Enjoy.




Matt

Labels:

Friday's Racing Members Club Selections

Just a quick post today, dear reader, as my computer has gone haywire. Do Not Buy Windows Vista!!!

After getting all five beaten yesterday, making it 12 out of 13 beaten, Racing Members Club has two lays today:

17.10 Tram 2 Lyical Assassin

20.10 Tram 5 Bennys Quest


You can sign up at http://tinyurl.com/2ul5j9

Also, TrainerFlatStats continues in great form, with the sole runner yesterday obliging at a juicy 6/1.

Laying System fared less well, with two losers (2/1 and 10/3) but also two decent priced winners (7/2 and 5/1). I felt it looked trappy yesterday, and so it proved.

Back later with the usual Friday fun, to help you ease into the weekend.

Matt

Thursday, 16 August 2007

Five Beaten Out Of Five Today, Making 12 Out Of 13

Just a quick line to say I'm very impressed with Racing Members Club so far.

They managed to get all five of their selections beaten today, so hats off!

You can join up here: http://tinyurl.com/2ul5j9

Matt

Good Days And Bad Days, Plus Lay365 Review

An excellent day yesterday, dear readers, for followers of TrainerFlatStats and Laying System, and something of a 'plug-y' self-congratulatory post today as a result.

TFS had one runner, Melalchrist, who won at 11/4. That's three winners and a second from the last five selections, including a 9/1 payoff (the other horse finished fourth at 8/1).


For Laying System, there were four losers yesterday from four runners. The odds were 5/2, 5/2, 9/4 and 2/1.

Although the qualifying races look a good bit trappier today, I'm hopeful that our good run will continue.

You can still take a free trial of Laying System, although you'll only get a week now rather than the previous fortnight. Still, it's something for nothing and will enable you to paper trade with no risk.

The url is http://www.Laying-System.com

so why not try it out?

Talking of paper trading, I cannot emphasise enough the importance of a period testing things out before you part with any folding. This is why I'm more than happy to demonstrate Laying System (for good or bad, and of course we have bad runs) free before a bean is spent.

It really p155es me off when people sign up for a free trial for a product of mine, and cancel after one or two days, moaning that they've lost money. (You know who you are...)

DO NOT BET WHEN YOU ARE ENJOYING A FREE TRIAL!!!

It is a completely obligation-free opportunity to test drive something without expense. Take advantage of that opportunity!


Elsewhere in the laying world, news reaches me of a product that a number of you have enquired about, due to its ads appearing in the google ad boxes on the left hand side.

This particular product is called Lay365. A couple of things stand out about this service immediately:

1) The contact email address is a hotmail address. Would you trust a service that doesn't even have its own domain emails? (Maybe, but I sure wouldn't!)

2) There is no free trial

3) There is no money back guarantee.

Now points 2 and 3 are interchangeable. That is, if there's no free trial, that's ok as long as I can paper trade and - if I'm losing money - get a refund. Equally, if I've been able to trial something to my satisfaction, I should then be prepared to part with my cash without a guarantee.

In the case of this site, there is no online payment option. Rather, to sign up you need to set up a standing order.

Whilst this is not standard, there's nothing especially wrong with it: you have control over the Standing Order and can cancel any time. But I'd still expect to see an online payment option (like PayPal or Clickbank or Nochex, etc).

Be all that as it may, how do the selections stack up?

Well, from June 27th to now, one disappointed reader writes to tell me:

"After about 3 losers he gave a 7-1 winner, then a couple of
bets later he gave another good odds winner. Then I was over £300 down
but going on his past results I thought I'd have a good chance of recuperating
the loss - very nearly did.

I stuck it out 'til July 27th and was almost at break-even so I decided to continue.
A BAD decision. His bets that win are always at much higher odds than
he claims and after writing two very straight emails to him, he didn't reply
I have asked twice to a refund but they say that they don't give refunds.

My £600 starting bank using only his tips at 5% of the bank (£30) I am
now about £350 down and if you include the 2 subs of £30 each I'm
well over £400 out of pocket.

You can NEVER get the advertised odds
I was one point short of break-even near the end of July when he gave
2 winners from 3 bets (maybe 4) This knocked me further back then he
gave another fair priced winner so I've had to stop or I'll be in the workhouse.

He gave a loser on August 1st but since then hasn't dared to put his results up
A good piece of advice to anyone trying a service is to ask if there's a money
back guarantee if not satisfied."

Indeed, since the start of August, things have taken a turn for the worse, with the following results:

Won 7-2,
L,
no bet,
Won 11-4,
no bet,
Won 9-4,
L,
L,
Won 2-1
no bet
no bet
L
Won 4-1 Five winners four losers with one day missing.

Lay365 gets a big thumbs down from me, based on this evidence, and - as my correspondent correctly points out - the owner of the site has stopped putting up the results now.

Avoid this one.

If you want to try a laying system, then try mine. I can't promise you'll have amazing results instantly, but I can tell you that:

- we're nicely in front since inception
- there's no unrealistic odds listed (all prices quoted are SP + 16%; 5% commission deducted on winning trades)
- you can try it without any risk to you for a week (paper trade!!!!)
- if you want to discuss anything, you know you'll get a response. Anyone who's ever emailed me has received a personal reply, even when they've been, erm, a little direct... ;) [I don't mind directness, I am quite prone to it myself!]

http://www.Laying-System.com


Finally, here are today's Racing Members Club selections:

15.05 Salis 6 Shavoulin

16.15 Salis 5 Olympian Odyssey

16.50 Salis 2 Aphorism

17.10 Tram 9 The Spoonplayer

17.30 Folk 9 Red Raptor

They are currently showing seven losers and one winner (3.8) since the service went public on Sunday.

You can find out more at http://tinyurl.com/2ul5j9

Cheers,
Matt

Wednesday, 15 August 2007

Dribbling With Excitement...

Hello again, dear reader, from a soggy mouthed scribe today. Firstly, apologies for lack of content yesterday. An alternative business obligation meant I had to be in the West Country, from whence I've only just returned.

Normal service now resumed, and the reason for my salivating is that the postman has brought me a new CD. Not just any old CD though. Oh no, this one is the CD-Rom with last season's National Hunt racing data on it (as well as all the previous season's back to 1991!)

For the next few weeks then, I shall be researching for TrainerTrackStats (the jumps guide counterpart of TrainerFlatStats), and very excited I am too.

Lessons have been learned from last season, where overall a modest profit was made to level stakes, using betfair. There will be some differences in the approach this season, but more on this in due course.

Elsewhere, and many of you have already got hold of your subscription to Racing Members Club, a lay tipster service.

Tracking the results since Sunday, when the service was officially launched, we see the following:

12/8
15:10 Redcar - Robbie Scott LOST

13/8
14.30 Wolverhampton - Musical Charm 6.8 LOST
14.45 Stratford - Salesin 5.1 LOST
15.45 Stratford - Lusaka De Pembo 3.8 WON
19:55 Thirsk - Next Flight 7.2 LOST

14/8
14.15 Newton Abbot Knightsbridge Hill 4.5 LOST
15.15 Newt Abbot Once A Brownie 7.4 LOST
19.30 Musselburgh Radiator Rooney 7.8 LOST

There are no selections today. However, seven losers and one winner is a promising start indeed.

You can read more at:

http://tinyurl.com/2ul5j9

Over at Sandown tonight, I reckon Redolent is plenty short enough on what he achieved on debut and, despite the likelihood of an improved show tonight, there are plenty in here who could be useful. I'll be laying at around 6/4.

Good luck!
Matt

Tuesday, 14 August 2007

Racing Members Club Results

Thanks to those readers (Peter, Eddie, John, Mick and Keith) who agreed to send me the results from Racing Members Club. I won't need any more offers, so thanks again.

I'll post the results here as I get them.

Just to say that three losers yesterday were not quite enough to mitigate the winner at around 3.8.

If you want to sign up for Racing Members Club, you can do so here:

http://tinyurl.com/2ul5j9

Remember that even though this is a monthly subscription, you can still take a refund if you're not satisfied.

I'll (re-)publish the details of how you do that at the end of the week.

Short post today as I need to be in Bristol and have a train to catch.

Happy Tuesday.
Matt

Monday, 13 August 2007

Has Anyone Signed Up For Racing Members Club?

Just a quick line to see if any member has signed up for Racing Members Club, and would be prepared to share either the selections in advance or the results after the event? I'd want to track them for a week or so.

If you're happy to do this, please send me an email at: matt@nag-nag-nag.co.uk

Over the next couple of weeks, I may have limited opportunities to post daily, which is why I'd be grateful if someone could share these details.

Thanks
Matt

Be Careful What You Wish For!

Another cautionary tale, dear reader, to begin the working week.

Having put up Finsbury as a horse to be interested in yesterday in the seller at Leicester, the horse duly obliged at a very fair 3/1 (he was clear on official ratings).

The trouble with sellers though, is that the winner gets auctioned. Obvious I know, but many trainers enter their horses hoping to boost the confidence but not wanting to lose the animal.

My experience of this was when our own Love's Design won a seller at Lingfield back in 2001. He dotted up by five lengths, and our obvious joy soon turned to anguish as Andrew Reid (the owner trainer who had a good few all weather horses at that time) decided to bid for the horse.

We ended up having to go to 7,000 guineas to get him back. "But he was your horse", you might be thinking. Well, yes, so we obviously didn't pay the money to ourselves. But, by the time we'd paid the VAT (about a grand) and the buyers' premium (another 700 notes), we'd done the prize money back!

No matter, for the Lover returned to Exning where Julia's stables were at that time, and he went on to win another six races for us in a distinguished and - for me - unforgettable career.

Julia was less fortunate with Finsbury. Coming only a couple of days after Spirit of Sharjah was 'spirited' away to Peter Chapple-Hyam's by his ambitious (and extremely disloyal) owner, Finsbury was reluctantly let go for 9,500 guineas.

His new trainer will be Milton Bradley, a man who has consistently improved the nags of others. So it will be with much interest that I track Finsbury's future progress.

Julia may find something to cheer about today though, as she looks to have found a good opportunity for another stable standing dish, Three Ships. He's won a handful of races, including three for today's regular pilot, Matt Smith.

He will enjoy the ground, and ran ok when warming up in a flat spin last month. He should be placed at least.

Elsewhere, and its Monday fare again, so there'll be no transactions from my account after last week's carnage, especially not as today is the 13th!

That said, if you want some pointers, look for high numbers over 5f and 6f at Windsor tonight.

Pixie's Blue has the best of the draw, in 16, and her form at 6f gives her a very good chance. Jimmy Fortune is a great jock for getting the best out of a horse (read beating the living daylights out of his nag), and Gosden places his horses better than most.

Aside from that, I shall be watching Peterborough beat Southampton tonight, and thinking seriously about getting stuck into the Posh to win League Two. If I decide to punt them, you can be assured I'll wait until tomorrow. Remember, this scribe has vowed to never bet on a Monday again.... at least not on horses.

Matt

Sunday, 12 August 2007

Damp Squib

A frustrating start to the footy season, dear reader, when Spurs - my adopted team for the season - and Sunderland, did the decent thing and played out what will surely be the most insipid hour and a half of football of the season as the hors d'oevre before the main course of Chelsea, Manchester United and Arsenal today.

I was interested to note that firstly, Jol decided to play Keane from the start (as suspected by my Spurs chums), then withdraw Berbatov later in the game, and actually use all four of his strikers for some part of the match.

Spurs were atrocious and this was surely a reality check for any North London fan with aspirations of a top four finish. In fairness, they were too bad to be true, lacking width, lacking ideas, and most worryingly, lacking any kind of cohesion or understanding.

After the game, Jol blamed the players, which surprised me. He has rarely deflected the responsibility to his boys, and this appears to mark an elevation in his own expectations. He has much work to do before the next game against Everton on Tuesday.

Elsewhere, and its been interesting to see some of the debutantes make their marks, notably at Manchester City and Liverpool. City cantered home away at West Ham, and Eriksson was apparently even warned for his animated posturing