It Should Have Been A Good Day For Central American Pensioners Called Pedro (and TTS Followers!)
Hello again, dear reader, and grim news from the turf, as the worm may be turning again in its inexorable cycle of good results followed by bad... (though see the end of this post for my bet of the year. If it gets beaten you'll hear me crying from your house!)
Today should have seen Mexican Pete and Over Sixty secure a tidy TTS double at 11/4 and 9/4 respectively, but our man Choccie had a rare 'mare.
Thornton is a very very good jockey (though not a great one in my opinion) who rides for a great trainer (not just a very very good one in my opinion) in Alan King.
King has his nags absolutely bouncing and should have put two more notches on the bedpost today. But Pete was given a waiting ride, and failed by half a length, the same, and a short head back in fourth. And Sixty was done a head.
Sporting Life comments:
Mexican Pete: mid-division, closer to leaders 5th, ridden 2 out, stayed on flat but never quite able to challenge - i.e. put in the race too late and didn't quite get there.
Over Sixty: in touch, pushed along over 6f out, slightly outpaced, ridden 4f out, chased winner over 1f out, staying on, drifted slightly left inside final furlong, just failed
That's the bad news. The good news is that, despite the bitter disappointments of the two missed 16/1 'winners', and today's minor setbacks, TTS is currently showing a profit of £383 to betfair enhanced odds (with commission accounted for), and a place profit of £313, all for £20 stakes.
A score each way on every runner puts you £700 in front since start of October.
And a staggering (I reckon, anyway) 57.58% of runners have finished in the first three!
Full results rundown at http://www.trainertrackstats.com/TTS20078perf.htm
Signup at http://www.trainertrackstats.com
In the interests of fairness, I should also point out that the Laying System, which was performing with credit in October, has had four out of five winners in the last five days to turn a nice profit into a small loss. The cycle will surely turn again soon enough.
To support the logic behind Laying System, these are the rules I look for typically (and you might want to use as well):
Onwards, and news reaches me of a couple of other products on the market, that I've heard of but not tried. Lest you might be thinking of investing in either Brimardon or Colin Davey, have a squint at the below cautionary email.
Please note these are not my opinions and I therefore can't vouch for whether this was just a particularly poor run or not...
Also, please note, there is a rather coarse joke at the end, which I left in because I think it's quite funny. If you're easily offended, please don't read it... (thanks to Anon for these comments)
"If it will assist you I can relate the following: I have used many tipping services in my life & if it is helpful, I can admit the events that I have had to deal with.
Call it a learning curve, apprentceship or total idiocy, but this is fact. Stay away from anyone pirating other peoples tips. Why? Because you don't know if you're getting the full monty or only some of it. Then of course you get offers of this, that & the other & end up with maybe ten or twenty horses to back each day which is lunacy.
The only way to find out what is & what isn't is to join something like 'Whichtipster' where the ground work is done for you. I joined BRIMARDON & I encourage them to take me to court if they wish,(as I have all the recorded data relating to my time involved with them), but I have this to say about that lot.
If you are silly enough,(like me), to part with £3K and be happy with the likes of '25/1 winner' as they printed in one of their fliers, in truth it was a place bet which makes it 5/1, minus the fact that it was a 'dutch', so devide that by two makes it 5/2 then minus 1 point you lost on the win part of the bet & you end up with 6/4!!!
Brimardon are experts at telling absolute lies backed up with 'TRUTH' In my experience, you will not win with them if you get treated the way I did. So what else? Alright, Lee O'Hare: nice guy, honest, pretty good, but he does get losing runs. The same can be said of Steve Smith Eccles, & The mole.
The worst, (apart from Brimardon who I consider to be criminals, but that is only my opinion) has to go to COLIN DAVEY. This prat, (or am I the prat for paying him £100 per month for a year), who at the time was proud to say that Willie Carson was his racing manager, advised me loser after loser after loser.
When one day he told me that he would never back another horse ridden by Richard Johnson (I think), & followed that up by backing his mounts for the next three or four races, I started to lose faith!! What made me forget him tho' was when he told me that he had been waiting for this one & it was called LOD-GER of course it was LODGER. I couldn't stop laughing.
The 'nail' was another brilliant laugh when he said that OUTER HEB-BRIDES was the one to be on, & that will have every Scotsman rolling!!!
Anyway, for all of your members, remember: Use an agency which does the monitoring, like you Matt, 'Whichtipster' or other. This wil not necessarilly make you money, but it will save you lots.
And as I know you like a laugh: Did you hear about the intellectually challenged young man who went to the local stables & tried to get a job?
They asked him if he had any experience shoeing horses to which he replied, 'I once told a donkey to f**k off'!!!"
Finally, although I haven't had a chance to do a full analysis of the racing for the Breeders Cup yet - some time pencilled in on Sunday - I will tell you this. If Dylan Thomas lines up for the Breeders Cup Turf, he is the bet of the year. The only possible way he can get beaten is if that eejit Kinane makes his run too late, as he has often done in the past Stateside (remember Rock of Gibraltar?!).
Certainty.
TTFN
Matt
Today should have seen Mexican Pete and Over Sixty secure a tidy TTS double at 11/4 and 9/4 respectively, but our man Choccie had a rare 'mare.
Thornton is a very very good jockey (though not a great one in my opinion) who rides for a great trainer (not just a very very good one in my opinion) in Alan King.
King has his nags absolutely bouncing and should have put two more notches on the bedpost today. But Pete was given a waiting ride, and failed by half a length, the same, and a short head back in fourth. And Sixty was done a head.
Sporting Life comments:
Mexican Pete: mid-division, closer to leaders 5th, ridden 2 out, stayed on flat but never quite able to challenge - i.e. put in the race too late and didn't quite get there.
Over Sixty: in touch, pushed along over 6f out, slightly outpaced, ridden 4f out, chased winner over 1f out, staying on, drifted slightly left inside final furlong, just failed
That's the bad news. The good news is that, despite the bitter disappointments of the two missed 16/1 'winners', and today's minor setbacks, TTS is currently showing a profit of £383 to betfair enhanced odds (with commission accounted for), and a place profit of £313, all for £20 stakes.
A score each way on every runner puts you £700 in front since start of October.
And a staggering (I reckon, anyway) 57.58% of runners have finished in the first three!
Full results rundown at http://www.trainertrackstats.com/TTS20078perf.htm
Signup at http://www.trainertrackstats.com
In the interests of fairness, I should also point out that the Laying System, which was performing with credit in October, has had four out of five winners in the last five days to turn a nice profit into a small loss. The cycle will surely turn again soon enough.
To support the logic behind Laying System, these are the rules I look for typically (and you might want to use as well):
- I look for false favourites (I want to lay short priced horses who I believe have less of a chance than the market suggests)
- I look for slow horses (some horses are hyped because of which stable they are from rather than what they’ve done)
- I look for horses who have not won in today’s grade (although a horse has 1’s and 2’s, it can often find a glass ceiling beyond which it is not competitive)
- I look for horses who are perennial losers (seconditis is a condition in some horses, who simply don’t like being the leader)
- I am happy to take on first time out horses, especially on testing ground (except when they’ve won or run well first time out before)
- I am happy to take on dirt horses going to turf and turf horses going to dirt.
Onwards, and news reaches me of a couple of other products on the market, that I've heard of but not tried. Lest you might be thinking of investing in either Brimardon or Colin Davey, have a squint at the below cautionary email.
Please note these are not my opinions and I therefore can't vouch for whether this was just a particularly poor run or not...
Also, please note, there is a rather coarse joke at the end, which I left in because I think it's quite funny. If you're easily offended, please don't read it... (thanks to Anon for these comments)
"If it will assist you I can relate the following: I have used many tipping services in my life & if it is helpful, I can admit the events that I have had to deal with.
Call it a learning curve, apprentceship or total idiocy, but this is fact. Stay away from anyone pirating other peoples tips. Why? Because you don't know if you're getting the full monty or only some of it. Then of course you get offers of this, that & the other & end up with maybe ten or twenty horses to back each day which is lunacy.
The only way to find out what is & what isn't is to join something like 'Whichtipster' where the ground work is done for you. I joined BRIMARDON & I encourage them to take me to court if they wish,(as I have all the recorded data relating to my time involved with them), but I have this to say about that lot.
If you are silly enough,(like me), to part with £3K and be happy with the likes of '25/1 winner' as they printed in one of their fliers, in truth it was a place bet which makes it 5/1, minus the fact that it was a 'dutch', so devide that by two makes it 5/2 then minus 1 point you lost on the win part of the bet & you end up with 6/4!!!
Brimardon are experts at telling absolute lies backed up with 'TRUTH' In my experience, you will not win with them if you get treated the way I did. So what else? Alright, Lee O'Hare: nice guy, honest, pretty good, but he does get losing runs. The same can be said of Steve Smith Eccles, & The mole.
The worst, (apart from Brimardon who I consider to be criminals, but that is only my opinion) has to go to COLIN DAVEY. This prat, (or am I the prat for paying him £100 per month for a year), who at the time was proud to say that Willie Carson was his racing manager, advised me loser after loser after loser.
When one day he told me that he would never back another horse ridden by Richard Johnson (I think), & followed that up by backing his mounts for the next three or four races, I started to lose faith!! What made me forget him tho' was when he told me that he had been waiting for this one & it was called LOD-GER of course it was LODGER. I couldn't stop laughing.
The 'nail' was another brilliant laugh when he said that OUTER HEB-BRIDES was the one to be on, & that will have every Scotsman rolling!!!
Anyway, for all of your members, remember: Use an agency which does the monitoring, like you Matt, 'Whichtipster' or other. This wil not necessarilly make you money, but it will save you lots.
And as I know you like a laugh: Did you hear about the intellectually challenged young man who went to the local stables & tried to get a job?
They asked him if he had any experience shoeing horses to which he replied, 'I once told a donkey to f**k off'!!!"
Finally, although I haven't had a chance to do a full analysis of the racing for the Breeders Cup yet - some time pencilled in on Sunday - I will tell you this. If Dylan Thomas lines up for the Breeders Cup Turf, he is the bet of the year. The only possible way he can get beaten is if that eejit Kinane makes his run too late, as he has often done in the past Stateside (remember Rock of Gibraltar?!).
Certainty.
TTFN
Matt
posted by Matt at
19:22
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