Thai'd Up And Drawn In... You Lucky People!
Good evening, dear reader, and welcome to a midweek post from yours truly.
Two things on the agenda for this evening's meeting (sorry, corporate Britain is biting me hard, even in the charity sector!):
1. My impending trip and why it's good news for you
2. Why the draw just pays and pays to follow
Let's start with news of yet another sojourn for your humble scribe. Yes, I have had enough of working after just two weeks and am off to recover in the exotic surroundings of Thailand. Never having been further in Asia than Brick Lane, I am very excited about the culture shock to which I am to be introduced.
My travelling companions are a mixed bunch, and include the current leader of the Nag Fantasy Football League. He also happens to edit the national weekly shares magazine, entitled - imaginatively enough - Shares (!)
There will be five of us travelling and, as I can't take my laptop for security reasons (i.e. I am likely to be in various states of inebriation and don't trust myself not to lose it...), I will be posting qualifiers for TrainerFlatStats, TrainerTrackStats and Laying System here on the blog each day.
The second point I wanted to raise is a hardy perennial topic in the summer months on here, and relates to the draw. Yet again, Beverley has shown its favouritism for high draws in the sprint races today, as I collected with Malapropism.
He was drawn highest of all, had won this summer in the same class and at the trip, has a handy running style and won by an unequivocal four lengths! Of course, this is hindsight as I write, but that was exactly my rationale when I placed the bet. 7/2 was a generous payoff.
The point here is a general one, rather than clever old Matt bet another winner and is bragging about it.
Look at draw biases and exploit them.
Here are a few starters for ten:
Chester - low draw in the sprints
Beverley - high draw in the sprints
Chepstow - high draw up to a mile
Goodwood - high draw at 7f and a mile
Ripon - high draw in sprints
Catterick - low draw in sprints
For next season, I will produce a full review of draw biases. For now though, keep looking out for the favoured positions and back the fancied horses who can make the best of their draw. That is, don't bother if your horse is well drawn but does not race handily - if he's got to come through horses, he'll likely find trouble in running.
Take a good look on Saturday at Catterick!
Until next time...
Matt
Two things on the agenda for this evening's meeting (sorry, corporate Britain is biting me hard, even in the charity sector!):
1. My impending trip and why it's good news for you
2. Why the draw just pays and pays to follow
Let's start with news of yet another sojourn for your humble scribe. Yes, I have had enough of working after just two weeks and am off to recover in the exotic surroundings of Thailand. Never having been further in Asia than Brick Lane, I am very excited about the culture shock to which I am to be introduced.
My travelling companions are a mixed bunch, and include the current leader of the Nag Fantasy Football League. He also happens to edit the national weekly shares magazine, entitled - imaginatively enough - Shares (!)
There will be five of us travelling and, as I can't take my laptop for security reasons (i.e. I am likely to be in various states of inebriation and don't trust myself not to lose it...), I will be posting qualifiers for TrainerFlatStats, TrainerTrackStats and Laying System here on the blog each day.
The second point I wanted to raise is a hardy perennial topic in the summer months on here, and relates to the draw. Yet again, Beverley has shown its favouritism for high draws in the sprint races today, as I collected with Malapropism.
He was drawn highest of all, had won this summer in the same class and at the trip, has a handy running style and won by an unequivocal four lengths! Of course, this is hindsight as I write, but that was exactly my rationale when I placed the bet. 7/2 was a generous payoff.
The point here is a general one, rather than clever old Matt bet another winner and is bragging about it.
Look at draw biases and exploit them.
Here are a few starters for ten:
Chester - low draw in the sprints
Beverley - high draw in the sprints
Chepstow - high draw up to a mile
Goodwood - high draw at 7f and a mile
Ripon - high draw in sprints
Catterick - low draw in sprints
For next season, I will produce a full review of draw biases. For now though, keep looking out for the favoured positions and back the fancied horses who can make the best of their draw. That is, don't bother if your horse is well drawn but does not race handily - if he's got to come through horses, he'll likely find trouble in running.
Take a good look on Saturday at Catterick!
Until next time...
Matt
posted by Matt at
20:33
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