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Sunday, 9 September 2007

Sunday Service...

Greetings, dear reader, from your sometime correspondent here at Nag3.

Apologies for the delay in posting, and for the fact that this virtual space may be more sporadically populated with words of wit and wisdom (along with many other words that fit in neither of the aforementioned categories) over the next month or so.

The reason for this dereliction of blogging duty is that I have agreed to help a major charity involved in the marine business with a number of IT projects. My day job used to be as an IT project manager / consultant, and its good for me to 'keep my arm in' as it were. Also, the extra pennies are more than welcome!

So - if you don't see a post for a day or two - accept my apologies, and I shall endeavour to ensure that when I do post, the content is deep and rich, like Donald Trump's trouser pockets...

To racing... And is it just me or has the racing been thoroughly crap this week? I don't know of a tipster on the planet who has managed to get his nose in front these last seven days, and I'm afraid that the Nag stable products are no exception.

September is a curious time for racing fans, with the turf flat season tapering out, and the fledgling jumps season taking its first tentative steps.

Although it's tough to find winners at this time of year by looking at the form book, a decent alternative approach is to look at the trainer tables and current stable form. A good example is brilliant up and coming trainer, and my main man to follow this season, Brendan Powell.

Powell was an above average jockey who never quite made it to the top of that game. But his work ethic and horsemanship are quickly elevating him to the top of the training tree, and he is now getting wider recognition in the form of more horses and better quality horses.

This season will be a defining chapter in the career of B G Powell and I expect him to continue placing winners in both flat and jumps races throughout the winter. September is expected to be an excellent month for him.

Racing today is a mixed bag, with action at Stratford, Hereford and York, as well as two Group 3's and a Group 1 at Longchamp.

Let's start with Longchamp, and in the 2.55, a Group 3 for 2yo's, John Gosden's young pretender, Young Pretender, looks to have a fine chance after an extremely impressive debut at UK HQ. His trainer is no mug and never takes horses abroad for the day out. He'll take some beating here and may then rise toward the peak of the Guineas ante-post lists for next season.

A win today may well see the Young Pretender line up for one of the big season finales, either the Dewhurst or the Racing Post Trophy, for which he is entered in both.

But the main event across La Manche is the Prix du Moulin, a Group 1 over a mile. Its a belting contest, with the lineup featuring winners of no fewer than 24 Group races, eleven of them Group 1's! Indeed the only non-winner of a Group race has finished runner up in the French Derby and the Prix Jacques le Marois on his last two starts!

The three main protagonists are 'Gorgeous' George Washington, 'Ravishing' Ramonti, and the deliciously delightful 3yo filly, Darjina.

If you're expecting a tip from me, here it is. Watch the race; enjoy the azure sanguine (that's blue blood!) on parade; and don't be surprised if there's a shock result. (If I had to take one at a price, I'd back Halocene - the non-Group race winner - each way at Tote's 22/1).

On the domestic front, there's nothing to get especially excited about, but a few who should go well and will carry my small stakes are as follows:

Fontwell
2.10 Royal Tender (throwaway each way stake at 33/1, just because it's that man Powell)

3.15 Mickey Pearce (in a race full of dodgy characters, I like the horse who has won two from his last three, albeit in sellers, and he's an each way price to boot at around 16/1. And of course Mickey Pearce was one of Rodney's dodgy mates in Only Fools And Horses...)

4.20 Terramarique (did TTS punters a favour last season, and his win to run ratio (8 from 21) makes him the kind of trier I always like on my side)

4.50 Watch this race! Gordon Elliot - winner of the Grand National for Nag3 followers last season with the 33/1 legend Silver Birch - tipped here at 100/1! - has another formerly high class animal in Salford City. If you think you know the name, its because he finished fifth in the Derby three years ago. Elliot is rapidly making a name for himself as a man who can rejuvenate flagging equine spirits and, while I couldn't entertain betting this one at 1/2, I will hope he wins.

Stratford
4.45 Pip's Assertive Way - course specialist who has won here albeit in selling class. In a race with few decent sorts, 25/1 is tempting from an each perspective. His trainer, A W Carroll, has four in the race!

York
3.25 Zennerman - Jamie Spencer on board for Kevin Ryan. Horse ran well from a poor draw at Beverley last time, and the strong low draw bias here on the round course gives trap 5 a great chance. High Ambition should also run well from the 1 box. Lay any or all of the horses drawn 12+.

Just a quick reminder that if you want to take advantage of the special pricing for TTS, I've extended the deadline until tomorrow (as I haven't had a chance to remind people until now), so check it out here.

Until next time...
Matt

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