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Friday, 3 August 2007

You Heard It Here First...

Good morning, dear reader, and once more I welcome you to Friday, though for the first time in August.

News greets me this morning of the wonderhorse Teofilo finally being retired. Regular readers will know that I shouted from the rooftops to lay this horse for the Guineas (or at least not back him) when news of his injury first filtered through, way back in early April.

Indeed at that time, I suggested he may never race again. It's with a perverse combination of sadness and smug satisfaction that I have been proved right.

Bolger would have known this for some time, but has had to fight the public admiration (to say nothing of the money down for both Guineas and Derby) over the past few months.

The timing of the announcement, bang in the middle of a major racing festival, is of Swiss watchmaking precision.

I like Bolger a lot - I think he's an excellent trainer - and he has my sympathy throughout this sad chapter.

He'll have another superstar soon enough (even if you exclude the extremely talented filly, Finsceal Beo).

To racing systems.... and the tales of the tape make interesting reading, though there is still limited data available:

The Winning Racing Tips Selections so far were:

Turban Heights 0.4 e/w unplaced 20/1 -0.8 points
Fluffy 0.4 e/w 2nd 8/1 -0.16 points
Asiatic Boy 1 e/w unplaced 7/2 -2 points

Total to date: -2.96 points

Although disappointing taken in microcosm, this service is still the best performing proofed service on the internet. Let’s hope that we hit the board a bit more over the next couple of days…

RSR results for Thursday:

Pivotal Queen 3-3.1 (liability of 0.1 points, LOST)
Enticing 5.2-5 (free bet for 0.2 points, LOST, 2nd)
Badalona 4.5-4.1 (free bet for 0.4 points, LOST, 2nd)

Franchoek, Sagredo, and Time Over did not qualify because either the market movement was invalid or the odds were not within the parameters.

Remember, that on all ‘free bet’ trades (i.e. any horse where the price gets shorter), there is an option to ‘lock in’ a smaller profit, irrespective of the result.

Running totals:

Total Upside Horses: 11
Total Liability Horses: 4

Total upside = 3.57 points
Total liability = 0.89 points

Today’s potential RSR Qualifiers are:

Bangor 3.05 Millards Lad
3.40 Pigeon Island
4.50 Tarkesar

Goodwood 2.50 Costume
3.30 Third Set
4.05 Western Art

Thirsk 2.05 Rio Taffeta
3.15 Honest Prospector
3.50 Ravenna

Alas, due to drinking and gambling commitments at Goodwood, I’ll be unable to track these. Based on results to date, you can be confident that if any of them win, there is a roughly three in four (or 73.33% in old money) chance that you would have had a free bet on them, using this guide.

As much as I dislike the man, this works.

More info (though I HATE the sales pitch!) at: http://tinyurl.com/3bg9la

Thursday’s Laying System Results:

Jamboretta 8th 5/2 Fav
Silca Key 6th 11/2

A touch more respectability (indeed, six losers in a row) to a tarnished reputation. Overall, the results remain extremely promising: it just seems I chose the wrong possible time to share my lay approach… Ho hum.

Today’s Laying System Lays Are:

Thirsk 3.15 Honest Prospector
Haydock 6.05 Raffish
8.15 Elopement

Goodwood 2.15 Munsef (my dear old friend… )

As I will be away gallivanting, I am afraid that Friday fun will be carried over until next week.

However, for those footy fans amongst you, if you haven’t yet seen Manchester United’s newest signing, you need to scout him. He looks very promising..!






Bon Weekend, and don't forget to sort out your FFL team. The numbers are slowly rising, but I'm still looking for more of you to join up. It's free (did I mention that?!) and there's prizes, so what are you waiting for?

http://www.premierleague.com/splash/fantasy/fantasy.html

And the league registration code: 533724-97750


Bon weekend!
Matt

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