Now The Tour Loses Its Ras-Matazz! And Today's Lays
Well, just when you thought the Tour could stoop no lower, dear reader, so it manages to scrape itself sub-terranean.
Yesterday came news of a positive drug test for Christian Moreni (about the only Italian in the race to make the news!).
But worse was to follow, as suspected doping offender, and clear race leader Michael Rasmussen, was sensationally booted out by his own team.
Nobody at cycling's world body or in the Tour organising committee shed a tear for the very suspicious Ras.
It transpires that he has recently failed to notify authorities of his whereabouts on four occasions, when three failures is treated as a positive drug test with an ensuing ban.
But worse than that, and what his paymasters could not accept, Rasmussen lied about his whereabouts in the run-up to the race. He had said that he was in Mexico, where his wife is from.
In fact, he was in Italy working with Dr Michele Ferrari, the infamous cycling quack known to make his wheelers go faster, by fair means or foul.
The cloud of suspicion became too heavy for Rabobank and then it burst, leaving Rasmussen without a job and without a team, and the Tour with a new young (hopefully clean) rider at the helm.
Step forward Alberto Contador. He is around two minutes up on Nag3 selection Cadel Evans, with just one meaningful stage to go.
That stage is the time trial this Saturday, and Evans will be favourite to win it. Whether he can beat Contador, who is a fair TT man himself, by two minutes is doubtful but not impossible.
Either way, barring any more drama, and my top 3 and top 6 wagers on the Aussie look safe. (I also had a small wager on Contador at 22/1 if you remember).
Onto racing, and the Laying System selections. A winner and a loser yesterday, so I'm definitely in the midst (ideally at the end) of a poor run.
Today's lays are:
York 7.30 Secret World
Sandown 3.55 Amarna
On the subject of these lays, and in response to a very surprising email I received, my advice is always to paper trade with a new system.
Moreover, any lay system has the propensity for significant short term losses, which in no way hinders its chances of long term gains.
It happens that this week I started to share the lays on a down cycle, but that will pass. To the gentleman who contacted me to tell me he'd lost money and would be better with a pin, I say you are right sir. You clearly do not have the right attitude with your betting to make something like this pay.
Perhaps you might try Laying Seven or the Laying Maestro systems: I'm told they're very good... (granted I'm told that by their own marketing spiel, and I've never seen them put up a selection ahead of time, but it might be for you sir...)
To take laying seriously, you need a bank of at least 40 points, you need patience and discipline, and you need to see a mid- to long-term view.
Lecture over. Sometimes people just p155 me off!
Back later with part 2 in the series on US vs UK form analysis, for those of you who are interested in such things.
Matt
Yesterday came news of a positive drug test for Christian Moreni (about the only Italian in the race to make the news!).
But worse was to follow, as suspected doping offender, and clear race leader Michael Rasmussen, was sensationally booted out by his own team.
Nobody at cycling's world body or in the Tour organising committee shed a tear for the very suspicious Ras.
It transpires that he has recently failed to notify authorities of his whereabouts on four occasions, when three failures is treated as a positive drug test with an ensuing ban.
But worse than that, and what his paymasters could not accept, Rasmussen lied about his whereabouts in the run-up to the race. He had said that he was in Mexico, where his wife is from.
In fact, he was in Italy working with Dr Michele Ferrari, the infamous cycling quack known to make his wheelers go faster, by fair means or foul.
The cloud of suspicion became too heavy for Rabobank and then it burst, leaving Rasmussen without a job and without a team, and the Tour with a new young (hopefully clean) rider at the helm.
Step forward Alberto Contador. He is around two minutes up on Nag3 selection Cadel Evans, with just one meaningful stage to go.
That stage is the time trial this Saturday, and Evans will be favourite to win it. Whether he can beat Contador, who is a fair TT man himself, by two minutes is doubtful but not impossible.
Either way, barring any more drama, and my top 3 and top 6 wagers on the Aussie look safe. (I also had a small wager on Contador at 22/1 if you remember).
Onto racing, and the Laying System selections. A winner and a loser yesterday, so I'm definitely in the midst (ideally at the end) of a poor run.
Today's lays are:
York 7.30 Secret World
Sandown 3.55 Amarna
On the subject of these lays, and in response to a very surprising email I received, my advice is always to paper trade with a new system.
Moreover, any lay system has the propensity for significant short term losses, which in no way hinders its chances of long term gains.
It happens that this week I started to share the lays on a down cycle, but that will pass. To the gentleman who contacted me to tell me he'd lost money and would be better with a pin, I say you are right sir. You clearly do not have the right attitude with your betting to make something like this pay.
Perhaps you might try Laying Seven or the Laying Maestro systems: I'm told they're very good... (granted I'm told that by their own marketing spiel, and I've never seen them put up a selection ahead of time, but it might be for you sir...)
To take laying seriously, you need a bank of at least 40 points, you need patience and discipline, and you need to see a mid- to long-term view.
Lecture over. Sometimes people just p155 me off!
Back later with part 2 in the series on US vs UK form analysis, for those of you who are interested in such things.
Matt
Labels: Laying System, Tour De France
posted by Matt at
08:28
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