In A Packed Programme Tonight...
Good morning, dear reader, and once again welcome to the world of work. But fear not. For these five days of drudgery will surely fly by with the help of Nag3's bumper bag of bonus goodies.
This week, you'll not only be getting the Laying System selections (as I attempt to extricate myself from a short term but very public hole), but also Paul Ruffy will be sharing his each way winners.
Paul's service has been top of the long term tipping charts on Racing Index for as long as I can remember, so I'm delighted to be able to share some of his wisdom with you.
The third prong to our tipping / laying / trading attack this week comes from a trial of the latest 'system to end all systems' from the conveyor belt of Steven Lee Jones, the so called 'Racing Systems Revolution' (hereafter known as RSR).
As if that wasn't enough to feed even the hungriest of systemite mouths, I'll also be bringing you more of my own thoughts on the tools and techniques the Yanks use to find winners, and how we can perhaps add them to our own analysis armoury.
All this, and its Glorious Goodwood week! I'll actually be at Goodwood on Friday, so if you see me say hello :)
But before then, there will be plenty of action on the blog, starting here with a quick preview of RSR.
The sales bluster barks:
"My fellow Betfair gamblers, welcome to the land of hypocrisy. Driven by greedy 'insiders', self-serving tipsters, and self-appointed 'experts'."
If that isn't the most hypocritical statement I've ever read, I'm struggling to think of a bigger contender. I mean, its so bad, you almost hope it's tongue in cheek..!
The man who releases a product every fortnight, and clearly thinks you're stupid, goes on to say, "Every single system they have sold you has been to harm YOU, to keep you down, out of the inner 1%."
Jones is frequently the 'they' in question. Ahem.
For all that I despise this man's sales copy as lazy, conspiratorial, self-righteous bull5h1t, the product itself is a bit different from Jones' usual 'systems', inasmuch as there appears to be a much sounder principle at play.
Although the guide is short at just 24 pages, it is also accompanied by the regular 'How To Use Betfair' manual that supports all of Jones' products. So if you're new to betfair (where have you been hiding?!), you can learn the fundamentals pretty quickly.
The guide is a 'rush job', with numerous typo's and spelling mistakes.
The testimonials say that the triallists (the same three who testified for Laying Seven and Lay Maestro curiously enough. Bizarre coincidence? Erm, no...) have been looking at the product for a week, and yet the examples in the guide are from 26th July, so that is not really possible.
And yet... despite my desire to poohpooh this with conviction... I actually like the idea that he's trying to put forward... I believe it may have merit.
I can't help but not want to give a Jones system a positive review, and time will tell on that score, but I am as interested as you may be to find out how this performs under test.
So, how does RSR work?
Well, as ever, I can't give the whole plot away or you won't go to the movie... but in essence, the idea is to pick certain fancied runners which, based on supporting evidence, have a decent chance of being overbet.
The consequence of this for us is that we can trade in and out on a horse. That is, we can identify a horse we believe will receive market support, back it early in the support cycle, and then lay it back shortly before the race, to lock in a profit.
Simple concept and one that we see time and again every day. The key question then becomes, "Are the selection criteria identifying the right 'steamer' animals?".
Well, obviously, at this stage I don't know the answer to that. But over the course of the next four days, I intend to put it to the test.
I could of course identify every qualifier at every meeting but, to be honest, that would too time consuming. (I need to eat, and go to the bathroom from time to time, dear reader!)
Indeed, one more pearl from RSR is that the user should not be greedy, and should only seek to trade perhaps two or three times a day.
Because of the nature of the system, and the activity required in the runup to the race, it's not straightforward for me to nominate potential selections in advance, as there may not be sufficient liquidity on certain horses.
However, probable contenders today come from a subset of this list:
- Zippi Jazzman (Wolves)
- Generous Thought (Windsor)
- Effigy (Windsor)
- Foreign Rhythm (Windsor)
- Sonning Star (Windsor)
- Too Posh To Share (Uttox)
- The Honourable Lady (Uttox)
- Sonic Anthem (Uttox)
- Farington Lodge (Uttox)
- Seattle Robber (Uttox)
- Alabama Spirit (Yarm)
- Rough Rock (Yarm)
- Rosy Alexander (Yarm)
Due to other commitments this evening (yes, I do have a social life!), I will likely only track the afternoon runners at Yarmouth and Wolverhampton, but that should be ample to get a feel for the approach. I may also get the early races at Windsor and Uttoxeter, but no promises on that score.
Paul's each way tips will be available between 12 and 1pm, so I'll pass those on directly nearer the time.
My lay today is Rough Rock in the 3.00 at Yarmouth. He is short enough at odds on and, despite being dropped in a weak race, may not have the resolution to see it through.
Later today, I also hope to bring you the third part of the US Form series, looking at the use of speed assessments.
Finally, you'll notice just below the title of this post an opportunity to share the blog content with any friends or colleagues who are interested in racing.
Do feel free to pass it on to them, if you think they'd enjoy it.
Happy Monday to you.
Matt
This week, you'll not only be getting the Laying System selections (as I attempt to extricate myself from a short term but very public hole), but also Paul Ruffy will be sharing his each way winners.
Paul's service has been top of the long term tipping charts on Racing Index for as long as I can remember, so I'm delighted to be able to share some of his wisdom with you.
The third prong to our tipping / laying / trading attack this week comes from a trial of the latest 'system to end all systems' from the conveyor belt of Steven Lee Jones, the so called 'Racing Systems Revolution' (hereafter known as RSR).
As if that wasn't enough to feed even the hungriest of systemite mouths, I'll also be bringing you more of my own thoughts on the tools and techniques the Yanks use to find winners, and how we can perhaps add them to our own analysis armoury.
All this, and its Glorious Goodwood week! I'll actually be at Goodwood on Friday, so if you see me say hello :)
But before then, there will be plenty of action on the blog, starting here with a quick preview of RSR.
The sales bluster barks:
"My fellow Betfair gamblers, welcome to the land of hypocrisy. Driven by greedy 'insiders', self-serving tipsters, and self-appointed 'experts'."
If that isn't the most hypocritical statement I've ever read, I'm struggling to think of a bigger contender. I mean, its so bad, you almost hope it's tongue in cheek..!
The man who releases a product every fortnight, and clearly thinks you're stupid, goes on to say, "Every single system they have sold you has been to harm YOU, to keep you down, out of the inner 1%."
Jones is frequently the 'they' in question. Ahem.
For all that I despise this man's sales copy as lazy, conspiratorial, self-righteous bull5h1t, the product itself is a bit different from Jones' usual 'systems', inasmuch as there appears to be a much sounder principle at play.
Although the guide is short at just 24 pages, it is also accompanied by the regular 'How To Use Betfair' manual that supports all of Jones' products. So if you're new to betfair (where have you been hiding?!), you can learn the fundamentals pretty quickly.
The guide is a 'rush job', with numerous typo's and spelling mistakes.
The testimonials say that the triallists (the same three who testified for Laying Seven and Lay Maestro curiously enough. Bizarre coincidence? Erm, no...) have been looking at the product for a week, and yet the examples in the guide are from 26th July, so that is not really possible.
And yet... despite my desire to poohpooh this with conviction... I actually like the idea that he's trying to put forward... I believe it may have merit.
I can't help but not want to give a Jones system a positive review, and time will tell on that score, but I am as interested as you may be to find out how this performs under test.
So, how does RSR work?
Well, as ever, I can't give the whole plot away or you won't go to the movie... but in essence, the idea is to pick certain fancied runners which, based on supporting evidence, have a decent chance of being overbet.
The consequence of this for us is that we can trade in and out on a horse. That is, we can identify a horse we believe will receive market support, back it early in the support cycle, and then lay it back shortly before the race, to lock in a profit.
Simple concept and one that we see time and again every day. The key question then becomes, "Are the selection criteria identifying the right 'steamer' animals?".
Well, obviously, at this stage I don't know the answer to that. But over the course of the next four days, I intend to put it to the test.
I could of course identify every qualifier at every meeting but, to be honest, that would too time consuming. (I need to eat, and go to the bathroom from time to time, dear reader!)
Indeed, one more pearl from RSR is that the user should not be greedy, and should only seek to trade perhaps two or three times a day.
Because of the nature of the system, and the activity required in the runup to the race, it's not straightforward for me to nominate potential selections in advance, as there may not be sufficient liquidity on certain horses.
However, probable contenders today come from a subset of this list:
- Zippi Jazzman (Wolves)
- Generous Thought (Windsor)
- Effigy (Windsor)
- Foreign Rhythm (Windsor)
- Sonning Star (Windsor)
- Too Posh To Share (Uttox)
- The Honourable Lady (Uttox)
- Sonic Anthem (Uttox)
- Farington Lodge (Uttox)
- Seattle Robber (Uttox)
- Alabama Spirit (Yarm)
- Rough Rock (Yarm)
- Rosy Alexander (Yarm)
Due to other commitments this evening (yes, I do have a social life!), I will likely only track the afternoon runners at Yarmouth and Wolverhampton, but that should be ample to get a feel for the approach. I may also get the early races at Windsor and Uttoxeter, but no promises on that score.
Paul's each way tips will be available between 12 and 1pm, so I'll pass those on directly nearer the time.
My lay today is Rough Rock in the 3.00 at Yarmouth. He is short enough at odds on and, despite being dropped in a weak race, may not have the resolution to see it through.
Later today, I also hope to bring you the third part of the US Form series, looking at the use of speed assessments.
Finally, you'll notice just below the title of this post an opportunity to share the blog content with any friends or colleagues who are interested in racing.
Do feel free to pass it on to them, if you think they'd enjoy it.
Happy Monday to you.
Matt
posted by Matt at
08:05
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Links to this post:
Create a Link
<< Home