Once Too Often To The Well...
After five losing lays, yesterday the spell was broken in no uncertain fashion by Munsef, a horse who I was quite unkind about.
In fairness, his overall record is patchy at best. But yesterday he was way too good for his opposition.
Today though we will try again, and I actually fancy two to get rolled over.
The first runs at Bath in the first race, and is called Midnight Fling. Roger Charlton, the filly's trainer, is a brilliant handler, but is currently 0 from 3 with his 2yo's, and this one - who was his first juvenile runner on debut - is almost certainly not one of the yard's leading players.
Allied to that, and the main reason I'm happy to oppose her is that she is drawn in stall 14. Sprint races favour the rails runner strongly, and she will have to travel at least five or six lengths further than those berthed in boxes one to five.
Both Aide Memoire and Star in the East have advantageous draws, and I'd be surprised if something didn't get the better of Midnight Fling.
For my second lay, I will go North to Perth (the northernmost racecourse in UK no less), and I will take on a pair of racing personalities who I cannot abide.
Nicky Richards seems to me to be an arrogant man, and not a shadow of his illustrious father, in terms of either ability or comportment. And quite why Rose Davidson still gets to ride his better horses is a frustration to me from a betting perspective (she cost TrainerTrackStats followers plenty last season).
So I'm happy to lay Middleton Dene on those personal aspects alone. Add in the fact that that the horse has never won outside of a low grade bumper, and takes on a dual winner and a couple of other potential improvers, and I will take my chances.
From tomorrow, we'll be tracking the performance of the Bank Vault Report in these messages, so there'll be less of my personal lay opinions on these pages.
I'll also bring you a lucrative little flat racing system at some stage during the week, so look out for that too.
For now though, enjoy your Sunday, and may it be restful and, if you're having a bet, profitable.
Matt
In fairness, his overall record is patchy at best. But yesterday he was way too good for his opposition.
Today though we will try again, and I actually fancy two to get rolled over.
The first runs at Bath in the first race, and is called Midnight Fling. Roger Charlton, the filly's trainer, is a brilliant handler, but is currently 0 from 3 with his 2yo's, and this one - who was his first juvenile runner on debut - is almost certainly not one of the yard's leading players.
Allied to that, and the main reason I'm happy to oppose her is that she is drawn in stall 14. Sprint races favour the rails runner strongly, and she will have to travel at least five or six lengths further than those berthed in boxes one to five.
Both Aide Memoire and Star in the East have advantageous draws, and I'd be surprised if something didn't get the better of Midnight Fling.
For my second lay, I will go North to Perth (the northernmost racecourse in UK no less), and I will take on a pair of racing personalities who I cannot abide.
Nicky Richards seems to me to be an arrogant man, and not a shadow of his illustrious father, in terms of either ability or comportment. And quite why Rose Davidson still gets to ride his better horses is a frustration to me from a betting perspective (she cost TrainerTrackStats followers plenty last season).
So I'm happy to lay Middleton Dene on those personal aspects alone. Add in the fact that that the horse has never won outside of a low grade bumper, and takes on a dual winner and a couple of other potential improvers, and I will take my chances.
From tomorrow, we'll be tracking the performance of the Bank Vault Report in these messages, so there'll be less of my personal lay opinions on these pages.
I'll also bring you a lucrative little flat racing system at some stage during the week, so look out for that too.
For now though, enjoy your Sunday, and may it be restful and, if you're having a bet, profitable.
Matt
Labels: Laying
posted by Matt at
10:27
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